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Understanding the reasons for the success of deep neural networks trained using stochastic gradient-based methods is a key open problem for the nascent theory of deep learning. The types of data where these networks are most successful,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-04 Sebastian Goldt , Marc Mézard , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Over the last decade, hidden Markov models (HMMs) have become increasingly popular in statistical ecology, where they constitute natural tools for studying animal behavior based on complex sensor data. Corresponding analyses sometimes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Jan-Ole Koslik , Carlina C. Feldmann , Sina Mews , Rouven Michels , Roland Langrock

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

In this article we focus on dynamic network data which describe interactions among a fixed population through time. We model this data using the latent space framework, in which the probability of a connection forming is expressed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Nunes , Tyler McCormick

Ecological systems can often be characterised by changes among a finite set of underlying states pertaining to individuals, populations, communities, or entire ecosystems through time. Owing to the inherent difficulty of empirical field…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-12 Brett T. McClintock , Roland Langrock , Olivier Gimenez , Emmanuelle Cam , David L. Borchers , Richard Glennie , Toby A. Patterson

We present an efficient exact algorithm for estimating state sequences from outputs (or observations) in imprecise hidden Markov models (iHMM), where both the uncertainty linking one state to the next, and that linking a state to its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-08 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

Generating sewing patterns in garment design is receiving increasing attention due to its CG-friendly and flexible-editing nature. Previous sewing pattern generation methods have been able to produce exquisite clothing, but struggle to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Shengqi Liu , Yuhao Cheng , Zhuo Chen , Xingyu Ren , Wenhan Zhu , Lincheng Li , Mengxiao Bi , Xiaokang Yang , Yichao Yan

Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Elisabeth Leoff , Jörn Sass

In the context of multilevel longitudinal data, where sample units are collected in clusters, an important aspect that should be accounted for is the unobserved heterogeneity between sample units and between clusters. For this aim we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-10 F. Bartolucci , M. Lupparelli

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Arguably the key issue in modelling discrete choice data is capturing preference heterogeneity. This can be through observed characteristics, and/or using techniques for capturing random heterogeneity across respondents. On the latter, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Thomas O. Hancock , John Buckell

We propose a novel document generation process based on hierarchical latent tree models (HLTMs) learned from data. An HLTM has a layer of observed word variables at the bottom and multiple layers of latent variables on top. For each…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Peixian Chen , Zhourong Chen , Nevin L. Zhang

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

The class of observation-driven models (ODMs) includes many models of non-linear time series which, in a fashion similar to, yet different from, hidden Markov models (HMMs), involve hidden variables. Interestingly, in contrast to most HMMs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Tepmony Sim , Randal Douc , François Roueff

We propose a novel method called Long Expressive Memory (LEM) for learning long-term sequential dependencies. LEM is gradient-based, it can efficiently process sequential tasks with very long-term dependencies, and it is sufficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 T. Konstantin Rusch , Siddhartha Mishra , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael W. Mahoney

It is well known that emotion recognition performance is not ideal. The work of this research is devoted to improving emotion recognition performance by employing a two-stage recognizer that combines and integrates gender recognizer and…

Sound · Computer Science 2018-01-23 Ismail Shahin

Time series are used in many domains including finance, engineering, economics and bioinformatics generally to represent the change of a measurement over time. Modeling techniques may then be used to give a synthetic representation of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

Using supervised machine learning approaches to recognize human activities from on-body wearable accelerometers generally requires a large amount of labelled data. When ground truth information is not available, too expensive, time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Dorra Trabelsi , Samer Mohammed , Faicel Chamroukhi , Latifa Oukhellou , Yacine Amirat

We develop a framework for derivative Gaussian process latent variable models (DGP-LVMs) that can handle multi-dimensional output data using modified derivative covariance functions. The modifications account for complexities in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Human motion plays an important role in many fields. Large databases exist that store and make available recordings of human motions. However, annotating each motion with multiple labels is a cumbersome and error-prone process. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-06 Matthias Plappert
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