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A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

A theory of superefficiency and adaptation is developed under flexible performance measures which give a multiresolution view of risk and bridge the gap between pointwise and global estimation. This theory provides a useful benchmark for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

We show that confidence intervals in a variance component model, with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability, can be obtained by inverting certain test-statistics based on the score for the restricted likelihood. The results…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

In the density estimation model, we investigate the problem of constructing adaptive honest confidence sets with radius measured in Wasserstein distance $W_p$, $p\geq1$, and for densities with unknown regularity measured on a Besov scale.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Neil Deo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

Sampling is a fundamental problem in computer science and statistics. However, for a given task and stream, it is often not possible to choose good sampling probabilities in advance. We derive a general framework for adaptively changing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Daniel Ting

A great deal of effort has been devoted to reducing the risk of spurious scientific discoveries, from the use of sophisticated validation techniques, to deep statistical methods for controlling the false discovery rate in multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-03 Cynthia Dwork , Vitaly Feldman , Moritz Hardt , Toniann Pitassi , Omer Reingold , Aaron Roth

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

This paper deals with estimation with functional covariates. More precisely, we aim at estimating the regression function $m$ of a continuous outcome $Y$ against a standard Wiener coprocess $W$. Following Cadre and Truquet (2015) and Cadre,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

We build a theoretical framework for designing and understanding practical meta-learning methods that integrates sophisticated formalizations of task-similarity with the extensive literature on online convex optimization and sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Mikhail Khodak , Maria-Florina Balcan , Ameet Talwalkar

We propose a bootstrap-based calibrated projection procedure to build confidence intervals for single components and for smooth functions of a partially identified parameter vector in moment (in)equality models. The method controls…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari , Jörg Stoye

The problem of adaptive multivariate function estimation in the single-index regression model with random design and weak assumptions on the noise is investigated. A novel estimation procedure that adapts simultaneously to the unknown index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Oleg Lepski , Nora Serdyukova

We present an efficient method of calculating exact confidence intervals for the hypergeometric parameter representing the number of "successes," or "special items," in the population. The method inverts minimum-width acceptance intervals…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-29 Jay Bartroff , Gary Lorden , Lijia Wang

Robust estimation has played an important role in statistical and machine learning. However, its applications to functional linear regression are still under-developed. In this paper, we focus on Huber's loss with a diverging robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Ling Peng , Xiaohui Liu , Heng Lian

We consider the recursive estimation of a regression functional where the explanatory variables take values in some functional space. We prove the almost sure convergence of such estimates for dependent functional data. Also we derive the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-19 Aboubacar Amiri , Baba Thiam

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

Motivated by the desire to numerically calculate rigorous upper and lower bounds on deviation probabilities over large classes of probability distributions, we present an adaptive algorithm for the reconstruction of increasing real-valued…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 L. Bonnet , J. -L. Akian , É. Savin , T. J. Sullivan

Statistical analyses of multipopulation studies often use the data to select a particular population as the target of inference. For example, a confidence interval may be constructed for a population only in the event that its sample mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Peter Hoff , Surya Tokdar

In decision-making problems under uncertainty, probabilistic constraints are a valuable tool to express safety of decisions. They result from taking the probability measure of a given set of random inequalities depending on the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Yassine Laguel , Wim van Ackooij , Jérôme Malick , Guilherme Ramalho

Diffusion models have become the go-to method for many generative tasks, particularly for image-to-image generation tasks such as super-resolution and inpainting. Current diffusion-based methods do not provide statistical guarantees…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Eliahu Horwitz , Yedid Hoshen

Industrial and scientific applications handle large volumes of data that render manual validation by humans infeasible. Therefore, we require automated data validation approaches that are able to consider the prior knowledge of domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Florian Bachinger , Gabriel Kronberger