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In this article, we fill a gap in the literature on Hawkes processes. In particular, we derive a CLT for a non linear compound marked Hawkes process. We also provide an upper bound on the convergence rate using the functional 1-Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Benjamin Massat

We establish a local martingale $M$ associate with $f(X,Y)$ under some restrictions on $f$, where $Y$ is a process of bounded variation (on compact intervals) and either $X$ is a jump diffusion (a special case being a L\'evy process) or $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Offer Kella , Marc Yor

In this paper, we consider a diffusion process with jumps whose drift and jump coefficient depend on an unknown parameter. We then give a self-contained proof of the local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) property when the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Ngoc Khue Tran , Eulalia Nualart

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

In this paper we investigate the local limit theorem for additive functionals of nonstationary Markov chains that converge in distribution. We consider both the lattice and the non-lattice cases. The results are also new in the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Costel Peligrad

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

The aim of this survey is twofold. First we show how the Markov tower construction is applicable for obtaining finer stochastic properties, like a local limit theorem of probability theory. Here the fundamental method is the study of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Domokos Szász , Tamás Varjú

We study the upper tail behaviors of the local times of the additive L\'{e}vy processes and additive random walks. The limit forms we establish are the moderate deviations and the laws of the iterated logarithm for the L_2-norms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Xia Chen

We introduce an abstract Hilbert space-valued framework of Markovian lifts for stochastic Volterra equations with operator-valued Volterra kernels. Our main results address the existence and characterisation of possibly multiple limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Ole Cañadas , Martin Friesen

In the last decade Hawkes processes have received much attention as models for functional connectivity in neural spiking networks and other dynamical systems with a cascade behavior. In this paper we establish a renewal approach for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Mads Bonde Raad

A Markov Additive Process is a bi-variate Markov process $(\xi,J)=\big((\xi_t,J_t),t\geq0\big)$ which should be thought of as a multi-type L\'evy process: the second component $J$ is a Markov chain on a finite space $\{1,\ldots,K\}$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Robin Stephenson

In this article, we introduce \textit{Mallows processes}, defined to be continuous-time c\`adl\`ag processes with Mallows distributed marginals. We show that such processes exist and that they can be restricted to have certain natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Benoît Corsini

The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 I. Bitter , V. Konakov

We provide a uniform law for the weak convergence of additive functionals of partial sum processes to the local times of linear fractional stable motions, in a setting sufficiently general for statistical applications. Our results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 James A. Duffy

We prove Local Central Limit Theorems (LLT) for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$ is a Markov chains with equicontinuous conditional probabilities satisfying contraction…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Yeor Hafouta

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

In this paper, we establish a version of the central limit theorem for Markov-Feller continuous time processes (with a Polish state space) that are exponentially ergodic in the bounded-Lipschitz distance and enjoy a continuous form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

For a positive self-similar Markov process, X, we construct a local time for the random set, $\Theta$, of times where the process reaches its past supremum. Using this local time we describe an exit system for the excursions of X out of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-10 Loïc Chaumont , Andreas Kyprianou , Juan Carlos Pardo , Víctor Rivero

Markov jump process models have many applications across science. Often, these models are defined on a state-space of product form and only one of the components of the process is of direct interest. In this paper, we extend the marginal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-28 Leo Bronstein , Heinz Koeppl

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta