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Financial correlations play a central role in financial theory and also in many practical applications. From theoretical point of view, the key interest is in a proper description of the structure and dynamics of correlations. From…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Detecting early warning signals in climatic time series is essential for anticipating critical transitions and tipping points. Common statistical indicators include increased variance and lag-one autocorrelation prior to bifurcation points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen , Håvard Rue

We find a novel correlation structure in the residual noise of stock market returns that is remarkably linked to the composition and stability of the top few significant factors driving the returns, and moreover indicates that the noise…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-15 Ivailo I. Dimov , Petter N. Kolm , Lee Maclin , Dan Y. C. Shiber

We address the interaction of single- and two-qubit systems with external fluctuating transverse fields and analyze in details the dynamical decoherence induced by Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise, e.g. random telegraph noise (RTN). Upon…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-14 Matteo A. C. Rossi , Matteo G. A. Paris

Conditional correlation networks, within Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM), are widely used to describe the direct interactions between the components of a random vector. In the case of an unlabelled Heterogeneous population, Expectation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Thomas Lartigue , Stanley Durrleman , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Folding uncertainty in theoretical models into Bayesian parameter estimation is necessary in order to make reliable inferences. A general means of achieving this is by marginalizing over model uncertainty using a prior distribution…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-03-04 Christopher J. Moore , Christopher P. L. Berry , Alvin J. K. Chua , Jonathan R. Gair

The Gaussian graphical model (GGM) incorporates an undirected graph to represent the conditional dependence between variables, with the precision matrix encoding partial correlation between pair of variables given the others. To achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yueqi Qian , Xianghong Hu , Can Yang

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

This paper discusses the fractional diffusion equation forced by a tempered fractional Gaussian noise. The fractional diffusion equation governs the probability density function of the subordinated killed Brownian motion. The tempered…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Xing Liu , Weihua Deng

Generating stable molecular conformations is crucial in several drug discovery applications, such as estimating the binding affinity of a molecule to a target. Recently, generative machine learning methods have emerged as a promising, more…

The observable outputs of many complex dynamical systems consist in time series exhibiting autocorrelation functions of great diversity of behaviors, including long-range power-law autocorrelation functions, as a signature of interactions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-05 Pedro Carpena , Pedro A. Bernaola-Galván , Manuel Gómez-Extremera , Ana V. Coronado

We present an adaptation of the standard Grassberger-Proccacia (GP) algorithm for estimating the Correlation Dimension of a time series in a non subjective manner. The validity and accuracy of this approach is tested using different types…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-11-26 K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika , A. K. Kembhavi

Many natural phenomena exhibit a stochastic nature that one attempts at modeling by using stochastic processes of different types. In this context, often one is interested in investigating the memory properties of the natural phenomenon at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-05-09 Salvatore Miccichè

One of the focus areas of modern scientific research is to reveal mysteries related to genes and their interactions. The dynamic interactions between genes can be encoded into a gene regulatory network (GRN), which can be used to gain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Atte Aalto , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen , Laurent Mombaerts , Jorge Goncalves

In this work we review the application of the theory of Gaussian processes to the modeling of noise in pulsar-timing data analysis, and we derive various useful and optimized representations for the likelihood expressions that are needed in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-19 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

Network topology inference is a fundamental problem in many applications of network science, such as locating the source of fake news, brain connectivity networks detection, etc. Many real-world situations suffer from a critical problem…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Yupeng Chen , Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen

This work proposes a nonparametric method to compare the underlying mean functions given two noisy datasets. The motivation for the work stems from an application of comparing wind turbine power curves. Comparing wind turbine data presents…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Abhinav Prakash , Rui Tuo , Yu Ding