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We show that the full-sample bootstrap is asymptotically valid for constructing confidence intervals for high-quantiles, tail probabilities, and other tail parameters of a univariate distribution. This resolves the doubts that have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Svetlana Litvinova , Mervyn J. Silvapulle

Analysis of matrix-variate data is becoming increasingly common in the literature, particularly in the field of clustering and classification. It is well-known that real data, including real matrix-variate data, often exhibit high levels of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Abbas Mahdavi , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Ahad Jamalizadeh

A new statistical estimation method, Independent Approximates (IAs), is defined and proven to enable closed-form estimation of the parameters of heavy-tailed distributions. Given independent, identically distributed samples from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Kenric P. Nelson

A new multivariate integer-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic process based on a multivariate Poisson generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is proposed. The estimation of parameters of the proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-03 Yuhyeong Jang , Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Online controlled experiments play a crucial role in enabling data-driven decisions across a wide range of companies. Variance reduction is an effective technique to improve the sensitivity of experiments, achieving higher statistical power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Hao Zhou , Kun Sun , Shaoming Li , Yangfeng Fan , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Tao Li

The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

This paper contributes to answering a question that is of crucial importance in risk management and extreme value theory: How to select the threshold above which one assumes that the tail of a distribution follows a generalized Pareto…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-27 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

In panel data we observe a usually high number N of individuals over a time period T. Even if T is large one often assumes stability of the model over time. We propose a nonparametric and robust test for a change in location and derive its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

We propose a method to mitigate heavy-tailed distributions in fermion Quantum Monte Carlo simulations originating from zeros of the fermion determinant. In this case the second moment of the observables might be not well defined, and we…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-09-05 Maksim Ulybyshev , Fakher Assaad

Diversity schemes play a vital role in improving the performance of ultra-reliable communication systems by transmitting over two or more communication channels to combat fading and co-channel interference. Determining an appropriate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

This thesis evaluates most of the extreme mixture models and methods that have appended in the literature and implements them in the context of finance and insurance. The paper also reviews and studies extreme value theory, time series,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-09 Yujuan Qiu

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-25 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

Numerous robust estimators exist as alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when a completely observed ground-up loss severity sample dataset is available. However, the options for robust alternatives to MLE become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

In this paper, we propose self-tuned robust estimators for estimating the mean of heavy-tailed distributions, which refer to distributions with only finite variances. Our approach introduces a new loss function that considers both the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Qiang Sun

We study a new estimator for the tail index of a distribution in the Frechet domain of attraction that arises naturally by computing subsample maxima. This estimator is equivalent to taking a U-statistic over a Hill estimator with two order…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Stefan Wager

Classification on long-tailed distributed data is a challenging problem, which suffers from serious class-imbalance and accordingly unpromising performance especially on tail classes. Recently, the ensembling based methods achieve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Bolian Li , Zongbo Han , Haining Li , Huazhu Fu , Changqing Zhang

The quotient correlation is defined here as an alternative to Pearson's correlation that is more intuitive and flexible in cases where the tail behavior of data is important. It measures nonlinear dependence where the regular correlation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Zhengjun Zhang