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This paper describes several applications in astronomy and cosmology that are addressed using probabilistic modelling and statistical inference.

Several cosmological measurements have attained significant levels of maturity and accuracy over the last decade. Continuing this trend, future observations promise measurements of the statistics of the cosmic mass distribution at an…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Salman Habib , Katrin Heitmann , David Higdon , Charles Nakhleh , Brian Williams

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a high-dimensional generalized linear model. Spectral methods obtained via the principal eigenvector of a suitable data-dependent matrix provide a simple yet surprisingly effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Yihan Zhang , Hong Chang Ji , Ramji Venkataramanan , Marco Mondelli

We describe a straightforward modification of frequently invoked methods for the determination of the statistical significance of a gamma-ray signal observed in a counting process. A simple criterion is proposed to decide whether a set of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-02 Dalibor Nosek , Stanislav Stefanik , Jana Nosková

Context: The unprecedented astrometric precision of the Gaia mission relies on accurate estimates of the locations of sources in the Gaia data stream. This is ultimately performed by point spread function (PSF) fitting, which in turn…

We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-19 Patrick Chao , Tahereh Mazaheri , Bo Sun , Nicholas B. Weingartner , Zohar Nussinov

Astrometric missions like Gaia provide exceptionally precise measurements of stellar positions and proper motions. Gravitational waves traveling between the observer and distant stars can induce small, correlated shifts in these apparent…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-10-27 Massimo Vaglio , Mikel Falxa , Giorgio Mentasti , Arianna I. Renzini , Adrien Kuntz , Enrico Barausse , Carlo Contaldi , Alberto Sesana

The problem of statistical calibration of a measuring instrument can be framed both in a statistical context as well as in an engineering context. In the first, the problem is dealt with by distinguishing between the 'classical' approach…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-15 Derick L. Rivers , Edward L. Boone

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We consider goodness-of-fit tests for the distribution of the composed error in Stochastic Frontier Models. The proposed test statistic utilizes the characteristic function of the composed error term, and is formulated as a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Simos G. Meintanis , Christos K. Papadimitriou

An empirical study was carried out to compare different implementations of ensemble models aimed at improving prediction in spectroscopic data. A wide range of candidate models were fitted to benchmark datasets from regression and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Katarina Domijan

We present a general framework for studying regularized estimators; such estimators are pervasive in estimation problems wherein "plug-in" type estimators are either ill-defined or ill-behaved. Within this framework, we derive, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Michael Jansson , Demian Pouzo

The increasing recognition of the association between adverse human health conditions and many environmental substances as well as processes has led to the need to monitor them. An important problem that arises in environmental statistics…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Yu Wang , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

One approach to extracting the global 21-cm signal from total-power measurements at low radio frequencies is to parametrize the different contributions to the data and then fit for these parameters. We examine parametrizations of the 21-cm…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-04 Geraint J. A. Harker , Jordan Mirocha , Jack O. Burns , Jonathan R. Pritchard

It is now generally accepted that Euclidean-based metrics may not always adequately represent the subjective judgement of a human observer. As a result, many image processing methodologies have been recently extended to take advantage of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-10 D. Otero , D. La Torre , O. Michailovich , E. R. Vrscay

Spectral fitting of X-ray data usually involves minimizing statistics like the chi-square and the Cash statistic. Here we discuss their limitations and introduce two measures based on the cumulative sum (CuSum) of model residuals to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-15 Anshuman Acharya , Vinay L. Kashyap

The global astrometric observations of a GAIA-like satellite were modeled within the PPN formulation of Post-Newtonian gravitation. An extensive experimental campaign based on realistic end-to-end simulations was conducted to establish the…

While optical and quantum efficiency are on the rise, and spectrographs becoming massively multiplexed, measuring spectral energy distributions of astronomical sources with accuracy remains a challenge. In addition to atmospheric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-19 Carlos Allende Prieto

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) have been used extensively in statistical models of spike train data. However, the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and their uncertainty, can be challenging to compute in situations…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Sahand Farhoodi , Uri Eden

The application of machine learning to physics problems is widely found in the scientific literature. Both regression and classification problems are addressed by a large array of techniques that involve learning algorithms. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Umberto Michelucci , Francesca Venturini