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We consider the problem of the construction of the estimator-process of the unknown finite-dimensional parameter in the case of the observations of nonlinear autoregressive process. The estimation is done in two or three steps. First we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Yury A. Kutoyants , Anastasia Motrunich

Suppose X is a multivariate diffusion process that is observed discretely in time. At each observation time, a transformation of the state of the process is observed with noise. The smoothing problem consists of recovering the path of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Marcin Mider , Moritz Schauer , Frank van der Meulen

We study stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise and constant step-size $\alpha$. We develop a method based on infinitesimal generator comparisons to study the bias of the algorithm, which is the expected difference between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-28 Sebastian Allmeier , Nicolas Gast

This work considers weak approximations of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by L\'evy noise. The SPDEs at hand are parabolic with additive noise processes. A weak-convergence rate for the corresponding Galerkin…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Tobias Stüwe , Andrea Barth

We investigate the Smoluchowski-Kramers approximation for the one-dimensional periodic variational wave equation with state-dependent damping and additive noise. We show that weak ``dissipative'' solutions converge to solutions of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Billel Guelmame , Julien Vovelle

In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

Consider a diffusion process X=(X_t), with t in [0,1], observed at discrete times and high frequency, solution of a stochastic differential equation whose drift and diffusion coefficients are assumed to be unknown. In this article, we focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Eddy Ella-Mintsa

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

We consider reaction-diffusion equations that are stochastically forced by a small multiplicative noise term. We show that spectrally stable traveling wave solutions to the deterministic system retain their orbital stability if the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Christian Hamster , Hermen Jan Hupkes

This paper studies the original discrete-time denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) from a probabilistic point of view. We present three main theoretical results. First, we show that the time-dependent score function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yumiharu Nakano

Random invariant manifolds often provide geometric structures for understanding stochastic dynamics. In this paper, a dynamical approximation estimate is derived for a class of stochastic partial differential equations, by showing that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-10-08 Wei Wang , Jinqiao Duan

The stochastic motions of a diffusing particle contain information concerning the particle's interactions with binding partners and with its local environment. However, accurate determination of the underlying diffusive properties, beyond…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Peter K. Koo , Simon G. J. Mochrie

This paper investigates neutral-type McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations in which the drift and diffusion coefficients depend on both the segment process and its distribution. Under a one-sided Lipschitz condition on the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Zhaohang Wang , Junhao Hu , Chenggui Yuan

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

We prove the weak consistency of the posterior distribution and that of the Bayes estimator for a two-phase piecewise linear regression mdoel where the break-point is unknown. The non-differentiability of the likelihood of the model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

Statistical inference for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation with two unknown parameters is studied. Based on observation of coordinates of the solution or their linear combination, minimum contrast estimators are introduced. Strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Josef Janák

In 2013, Lu and Ren \cite {luren} considered anticipated backward stochastic differential equations driven by finite state, continuous time Markov chain noise and established the existence and uniqueness of the solutions of these equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Zhe Yang , Robert J. Elliott

We consider a class of stochastic differential equations driven by a one dimensional Brownian motion and we investigate the rate of convergence for Wong-Zakai-type approximated solutions. We first consider the Stratonovich case, obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-06 Bilel Kacem Ben Ammou , Alberto Lanconelli

This paper concerns the numerical approximation for the invariant distribution of Markovian switching L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations. By combining the tamed-adaptive Euler-Maruyama scheme with the Multi-level Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Hoang-Viet Nguyen , Trung-Thuy Kieu , Duc-Trong Luong , Hoang-Long Ngo , Tran Ngoc Khue