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Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Fast and accurate hourly forecasts of wind speed and power are crucial in quantifying and planning the energy budget in the electric grid. Modeling wind at a high resolution brings forth considerable challenges given its turbulent and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Huang Huang , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

This study presents a compact data-driven Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) model for wind turbine wake prediction, built as an enhancement of the standard \(k\)-\(\varepsilon\) formulation. Several candidate models were discovered…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-09 Kherlen Jigjid , Ali Eidi , Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Richard P. Dwight

Quantifying the uncertainty of wind energy potential from climate models is a very time-consuming task and requires a considerable amount of computational resources. A statistical model trained on a small set of runs can act as a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Jaehong Jeong , Yuan Yan , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

Intuitively, one would expect a more skillful forecast if predicting weather averaged over one week instead of the weather averaged over one day, and similarly for different spatial averaging areas. However, there are few systematic studies…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-07-28 Ying Li , Samuel N. Stechmann

Using data alone, without knowledge of underlying physical models, nonlinear discrete time regional forecasting dynamical rules are constructed employing well tested methods from applied mathematics and nonlinear dynamics. Observations of…

We study temporal variability of radiation driven winds using one dimensional, time dependent simulations and an extension of the classic theory of line driven winds developed by Castor Abbott and Klein. We drive the wind with a…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-10-17 Sergei Dyda , Daniel Proga

Nowadays, wind power is considered as one of the most widely used renewable energy applications due to its efficient energy use and low pollution. In order to maintain high integration of wind power into the electricity market, efficient…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-16 Ephrem Admasu Yekun , Alem Haddush Fitwi , S. Karpaga Selvi , Anubhav Kumar

Geostationary satellites collect high-resolution weather data comprising a series of images which can be used to estimate wind speed and direction at different altitudes. The Derived Motion Winds (DMW) Algorithm is commonly used to process…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Indranil Sahoo , Joseph Guinness , Brian J. Reich

The modeling of the heliosphere requires continuous three-dimensional solar wind data. The in-situ out-of-ecliptic measurements are very rare, so that other methods of solar wind detection are needed. We use the remote-sensing data of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-27 Justyna M. Sokół , Paweł Swaczyna , Maciej Bzowski , Munetoshi Tokumaru

Winds from the North-West quadrant and lack of precipitation are known to lead to an increase of PM10 concentrations over a residential neighborhood in the city of Taranto (Italy). In 2012 the local government prescribed a reduction of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Alessio Pollice , Francesca Fedele

The research presents an automated method for determining the trajectory of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) for wind turbine inspection. The proposed method enables efficient data collection from multiple wind installations using UAV…

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

The increasing interest in renewable energy, particularly in wind, has given rise to the necessity of accurate models for the generation of good synthetic wind speed data. Markov chains are often used with this purpose but better models are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Rainfall is an important component of the climate system and its statistical properties are vital for prediction purposes. In this study, we have developed a statistical method for constructing the distribution of annual precipitation. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Yosef Ashkenazy , Naftali R. Smith

The rapid growth of offshore wind energy requires accurate modeling of the wind resource, which can be depleted by wind farm wakes. Turbulence dissipation rate governs the accuracy of model predictions of hub-height wind speed and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-20 Nicola Bodini , Julie K. Lundquist , Anthony Kirincich

A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model that solves the steady-state Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations for buoyant compressible pollution dispersion under different meteorological conditions is developed. A 6.4 km by 6.4…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-15 Zhihao Li , Rebecca Tanzer-Gruener , Albert Presto , Peter Adams , Satbir Singh

Understanding complex spatial dependency structures is a crucial consideration when attempting to build a modeling framework for wind speeds. Ideally, wind speed modeling should be very efficient since the wind speed can vary significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Matthew de Bie , Janet van Niekerk , Andriette Bekker