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Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

Fitting models with high predictive accuracy that include all relevant but no irrelevant or redundant features is a challenging task on data sets with similar (e.g. highly correlated) features. We propose the approach of tuning the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Andrea Bommert , Jörg Rahnenführer , Michel Lang

We explain in detail how to estimate mean values and assess statistical errors for arbitrary functions of elementary observables in Monte Carlo simulations. The method is to estimate and sum the relevant autocorrelation functions, which is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-09-29 Ulli Wolff

Factor modeling is an essential tool for exploring intrinsic dependence structures among high-dimensional random variables. Much progress has been made for estimating the covariance matrix from a high-dimensional factor model. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Quefeng Li , Guang Cheng , Jianqing Fan , Yuyan Wang

The current capacity of computers makes it possible to perform simulations of small systems with portable, explicit-solvent potentials achieving high degree of accuracy. However, simplified models must be employed to exploit the behaviour…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-18 R. Capelli , C. Paissoni , P. Sormanni , G. Tiana

Control of a dynamical system without the knowledge of dynamics is an important and challenging task. Modern machine learning approaches, such as deep neural networks (DNNs), allow for the estimation of a dynamics model from control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Suruchi Sharma , Volodymyr Makarenko , Gautam Kumar , Stas Tiomkin

This paper improves upon existing data pruning methods for image classification by introducing a novel pruning metric and pruning procedure based on importance sampling. The proposed pruning metric explicitly accounts for data separability,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Steven Grosz , Rui Zhao , Rajeev Ranjan , Hongcheng Wang , Manoj Aggarwal , Gerard Medioni , Anil Jain

An algorithm is proposed that enables the imposition of shape constraints on regression curves, without requiring the constraints to be written as closed-form expressions, nor assuming the functional form of the loss function. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-08 Kenyon Ng , Berwin A. Turlach , Kevin Murray

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Structural identifiability is a property of an ODE model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from continuous noise-free data. This is a natural prerequisite for practical identifiability. Conducting multiple…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Anand Pillay , Gleb Pogudin , Thomas Scanlon

Real-world data is often incomplete and contains missing values. To train accurate models over real-world datasets, users need to spend a substantial amount of time and resources imputing and finding proper values for missing data items. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Cheng Zhen , Nischal Aryal , Arash Termehchy , Alireza Aghasi , Amandeep Singh Chabada

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

This paper reviews recent advances in missing data research using graphical models to represent multivariate dependencies. We first examine the limitations of traditional frameworks from three different perspectives: \textit{transparency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-15 Karthika Mohan , Judea Pearl

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

Classical analysis of variance requires that model terms be labeled as fixed or random and typically culminate by comparing variability from each batch (factor) to variability from errors; without a standard methodology to assess the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-17 Steven Geinitz , Reinhard Furrer , Stephan R. Sain

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We propose a method to ease the challenges of exploring multi-dimensional parameter spaces in beyond-the-Standard Model theories. We evaluate the model likelihood for any choice of parameters by sampling the theory parameters intelligently…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-03-08 Carlos A. Argüelles , Nicolò Foppiani , Matheus Hostert