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In the following article, we present a novel way to etimate the amounts of traffic on the Origin-Destination couples (OD couples). This new approach combines together a routing algorithm based on the principle of the shortest path and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Hélène Le Cadre

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

In this paper, we propose efficient importance sampling estimators to evaluate the outage probability of maximum ratio combining receivers over turbulence-induced fadings in underwater wireless optical channels. We consider two fading…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-25 Chaouki ben Issaid , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Estimating parameters of mixture model has wide applications ranging from classification problems to estimating of complex distributions. Most of the current literature on estimating the parameters of the mixture densities are based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Yuantong Li , Qi Ma , Sujit K. Ghosh

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Model ensembling is a well-established technique for improving the performance of machine learning models. Conventionally, this involves averaging the output distributions of multiple models and selecting the most probable label. This idea…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jiale Fu , Yuchu Jiang , Peijun Wu , Chonghan Liu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Xu Yang

Conventional information-theoretic quantities assume access to probability distributions. Estimating such distributions is not trivial. Here, we consider function-based formulations of cross entropy that sidesteps this a priori estimation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Isaac J. Sledge , Jose C. Principe

This paper tackles the problem of missing data imputation for noisy and non-Gaussian data. A classical imputation method, the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture models, has shown interesting properties when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-23 Florian Mouret , Alexandre Hippert-Ferrer , Frédéric Pascal , Jean-Yves Tourneret

We apply two variations of the principle of Minimum Cross Entropy (the Kullback information measure) to fit parameterized probability density models to observed data densities. For an array beamforming problem with P incident narrowband…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-06-24 Cheng-Yuan Liou , Bruce R. Musicus

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

We introduce Ensemble Rejection Sampling, a scheme for exact simulation from the posterior distribution of the latent states of a class of non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. Ensemble Rejection Sampling relies on a proposal for the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-28 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Sylvain Rubenthaler

This paper proposes a way to combine the Mesh Adaptive Direct Search (MADS) algorithm with the Cross-Entropy (CE) method for non smooth constrained optimization. The CE method is used as a Search step by the MADS algorithm. The result of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Charles Audet , Romain Couderc , Jean Bigeon

Finite mixture modelling is a popular method in the field of clustering and is beneficial largely due to its soft cluster membership probabilities. A common method for fitting finite mixture models is to employ spectral clustering, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-22 Liam Welsh , Phillip Shreeves

In practical applications of regression analysis, it is not uncommon to encounter a multitude of values for each attribute. In such a situation, the univariate distribution, which is typically Gaussian, is suboptimal because the mean may be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Krzysztof Byrski , Jacek Tabor , Przemysław Spurek , Marcin Mazur

We propose an ensemble method to improve the generalization performance of trading strategies trained by deep reinforcement learning algorithms in a highly stochastic environment of intraday cryptocurrency portfolio trading. We adopt a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Shuyang Wang , Diego Klabjan

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

The rare-event sampling problem has long been the central limiting factor in molecular dynamics (MD), especially in biomolecular simulation. Recently, diffusion models such as BioEmu have emerged as powerful equilibrium samplers that…

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is an increasingly used methodology where several proposal densities are used to approximate integrals, generally involving target probability density functions. The use of several proposals allows for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Rahul Mukerjee , Víctor Elvira

In this work, we develop a novel Bayesian estimation method for the Dirichlet process (DP) mixture of the inverted Dirichlet distributions, which has been shown to be very flexible for modeling vectors with positive elements. The recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Zhanyu Ma , Yuping Lai

We discuss estimating the probability that the sum of nonnegative independent and identically distributed random variables falls below a given threshold, i.e., $\mathbb{P}(\sum_{i=1}^{N}{X_i} \leq \gamma)$, via importance sampling (IS). We…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-04 Nadhir Ben Rached , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Gerardo Rubino , Raul Tempone