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Observations suggest that the earth's surface has been warming relative to the troposphere for the last 25 years; this is not only difficult to explain but also contrary to the results of climate models. We provide new evidence that the…

In a recent paper attempts were made to quantify the respective solar and anthropogenic influences on the terrestrial climate, and to cautiously predict the global mean temperature over the next 130 years. In a double regression analysis,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-19 Frank Stefani

High-resolution multispectral satellite imagery was utilized to quantify shoreline recession at eleven beaches around Lake Michigan during a record-setting water level increase between 2013 and 2020. Shoreline changes during this period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-24 Hazem U. Abdelhady , Cary D. Troy , Longhuan Zhu , Pengfei Xue , Guy Meadows , Chin H. Wu

Understanding current global climate requires an understanding of trends both in Earth's atmospheric temperature and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a characteristic large-scale distribution of warm water in the tropical Pacific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-27 L. M. W. Leggett , D. A. Ball

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

The sea level observations from satellite altimetry are characterised by a sparse spatial and temporal coverage. For this reason, along-track data are routinely interpolated into daily grids. The latter are strongly smoothed in time and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-22 Marcello Passaro , Marie-Christin Juhl

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

Regional climate change in the $21^{st}$ century will result from the interplay between human-induced changes and internal climate variability. Competing effects from greenhouse gas warming and aerosol cooling have historically caused…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Raphaël Hébert , Thomas Laepple

Changes in the atmospheric composition alter the magnitude and partitioning between the downward propagating solar and atmospheric longwave radiative fluxes heating the Earth's surface. These changes are computed by radiative transfer codes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-30 Chirag Dhara

The IPCC AR6 assessment of the impacts and risks associated with projected climate changes for the 21st century is both alarming and ambiguous. According to computer projections, the global surface may warm from 1.3 to 8.0 {\deg}C by 2100,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-18 Nicola Scafetta

Tidal energy is one of the key components in increasing the penetration of renewable energy. High tidal energy penetration into the electrical grid depends on accurate tidal current speed forecasting. Model inaccuracies hinder forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Tengfei Cheng , Yangdi Huang , Ling Xiao , Yunxuan Dong

In a recent article by Scafetta, 2010, the author investigates whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. In particular, the author note that several global surface temperature records,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-20 S. Sello

Data assimilation is often viewed as a framework for correcting short-term error growth in dynamical climate model forecasts. When viewed on the time scales of climate however, these short-term corrections, or analysis increments, can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-02 William Gregory , Mitchell Bushuk , Alistair Adcroft , Yongfei Zhang , Laure Zanna

The importance of snow cover and ice extent in the Northern Hemisphere was recognized by various authors leading to a positive feedback of surface reflectivity on climate. In fact, the retreat of Arctic sea ice is accompanied by enhanced…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-20 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

Whether natural factors could interpret the rise of the Earth's surface temperature is still controversial. Though numerous recent researches have reported apparent correlations between solar activity and the Earth's climate, solar activity…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-25 Jilong Chen , Zhaopeng Sun , Juan Zhao , Yujun Zheng

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a leading mode of atmospheric variability, affecting the North Atlantic Ocean on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. The NAO changes the atmospheric forcing at the ocean's surface, including…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Dhruv Bhagtani , Andy McC. Hogg , Ryan M. Holmes , Navid C. Constantinou , Hemant Khatri

This paper introduces a new algorithm to improve the accuracy of numerical phase-averaging in oscillatory, multiscale, differential equations. Phase-averaging is a timestepping method which averages a mapped variable to remove highly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Timothy C. Andrews , Beth A. Wingate

The evolution of mean sea-level atmospheric pressure since 1850 is analyzed using singular spectrum analysis. Maps of the main components (the trends) reveal striking symmetries of order 3 and 4. The northern hemisphere (NH) displays a set…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-20 F. Lopes , V. Courtillot , J-L. Le Mouël

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah
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