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We analyze purely competitive many-species Lotka-Volterra systems with random interaction matrices, focusing the attention on statistical properties of their asymptotic states. Generic features of the evolution are outlined from a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Guillermo Abramson , Damian Zanette

A birth-death-sampling model gives rise to phylogenetic trees with samples from the past and the present. Interpreting "birth" as branching speciation, "death" as extinction, and "sampling" as fossil preservation and recovery, this model --…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-12 Tanja Stadler , Alexandra Gavryushkina , Rachel C. M. Warnock , Alexei J. Drummond , Tracy A. Heath

We describe a simple model of evolution which incorporates the branching and extinction of species lines, and also includes abiotic influences. A first principles approach is taken in which the probability for speciation and extinction are…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. A. Head , G. J. Rodgers

A wide variety of stochastic models of cladogenesis (based on speciation and extinction) lead to an identical distribution on phylogenetic tree shapes once the edge lengths are ignored. By contrast, the distribution of the tree's edge…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-05 Mike Steel

We determine the phase diagrams of conservative diffusive contact processes by means of numerical simulations. These models are versions of the ordinary diffusive single-creation, pair-creation and triplet-creation contact processes in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Carlos E. Fiore , Mário J. de Oliveira

We consider contact processes on the hierarchical group, where sites infect other sites at a rate depending on their hierarchical distance, and sites become healthy with a constant recovery rate. If the infection rates decay too fast as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Siva R. Athreya , Jan M. Swart

Many species see their range shifted poleward in response to global warming and need to keep pace in order to survive. To understand the effect of climate change on species ranges and its consequences on population dynamics, we consider a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Juliette Bouhours , Thomas Giletti

We consider an extended birth-death-immigration process defined on a lattice formed by the integers of $d$ semiaxes joined at the origin. When the process reaches the origin, then it may jumps toward any semiaxis with the same rate. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Abdelaziz Rhandi

We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

Competitive birth-death processes often exhibit an oscillatory behavior. We investigate a particular case where the oscillation cycles are marginally stable on the mean-field level. An iconic example of such a system is the Lotka-Volterra…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Matthew Parker , Alex Kamenev

Given that extinction in a bisexual population is certain, we study a way to approximate the time when this extinction occurs. Our study is based on standard tools from Extreme Value Theory, which in practice are very easy to implement. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-28 Ehyter M. Martín-González , Carlos Galván-Galván , Eduardo Calvo-Martínez

Neutral speciation mechanisms based on isolation by distance and sexual selection, termed topopatric, have recently been shown to describe the observed patterns of abundance distributions and species-area relationships. Previous works have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-24 Elizabeth M. Baptestini , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The contact process is a non-equilibrium Hamiltonian model that, even in one dimension, lacks an exact solution and has been extensively studied via Monte Carlo simulations, both in steady-state and time-dependent scenarios. Although the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-15 Roberto da Silva , Eliseu Venites Filho , Henrique Almeida Fernandes , Paulo F. Gomes

We present a stochastic model for the size of a taxon in paleobiology, in which we allow for the evolution of new taxon members, and both individual and catastrophic extinction events. The model uses ideas from the theory of birth and death…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Barry D. Hughes , William J. Reed

Propagation of contagion in networks depends on the graph topology. This paper is concerned with studying the time-asymptotic behavior of the extended contact processes on static, undirected, finite-size networks. This is a contact process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-03 June Zhang , José M. F. Moura

We introduce a method to prove metastability of the contact process on Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graphs and on configuration model graphs. The method relies on uniformly bounding the total infection rate from below, over all sets with a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Eric Cator , Henk Don

The extinction transition on a one dimensional heterogeneous substrate with diffusive correlations is studied. Diffusively correlated heterogeneity is shown to affect the location of the transition point, as the reactants adapt to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-06 Galit Evron , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

This paper is concerned with contact process with random vertex weights on regular trees, and study the asymptotic behavior of the critical infection rate as the degree of the trees increasing to infinity. In this model, the infection…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Yu Pan , Dayue Chen , Xiaofeng Xue