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We consider portfolio selection when decisions based on a dynamic risk measure are affected by the use of a moving horizon, and the possible inconsistencies that this creates. By giving a formal treatment of time consistency which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Samuel N. Cohen , Robert J. Elliott

We axiomatically introduce risk-consistent conditional systemic risk measures defined on multidimensional risks. This class consists of those conditional systemic risk measures which can be decomposed into a state-wise conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

We extend the scope of risk measures for which backtesting models are available by proposing a multinomial backtesting method for general distortion risk measures. The method relies on a stratification and randomization of risk levels. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Sören Bettels , Sojung Kim , Stefan Weber

We formulate a probabilistic Markov property in discrete time under a dynamic risk framework with minimal assumptions. This is useful for recursive solutions to risk-sensitive versions of dynamic optimisation problems such as optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Tomasz Kosmala , Randall Martyr , John Moriarty

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

On the basis of an analysis of previous research, we present a generalized approach for measuring the difference of plans with an exemplary application to machine scheduling. Our work is motivated by the need for such measures, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Martin Josef Geiger

The previous decade has brought a remarkable increase of the interest in applications that deal with querying and mining of time series data. Many of the research efforts in this context have focused on introducing new representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Xiaoyue Wang , Hui Ding , Goce Trajcevski , Peter Scheuermann , Eamonn Keogh

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

We propose a new class of measures for shaping time-dependent trajectories in dynamic optimization (DO). The proposed measures are analogous to risk measures used in stochastic optimization (SO) and are inspired by a recently-proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-15 Joshua L. Pulsipher , Benjamin R. Davidson , Victor M. Zavala

We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

We discuss two distinct approaches, for distorting risk measures of sums of dependent random variables, which preserve the property of coherence. The first, based on distorted expectations, operates on the survival function of the sum. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We study coherent risk measures which are time-consistent for multiple filtrations. We show that a coherent risk measure is time-consistent for every filtration if and only if it is one of four main types. Furthermore, if the risk measure…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-06 Samuel N. Cohen

This paper is devoted to the introduction and study of a new family of multivariate elicitable risk measures. We call the obtained vector-valued measures multivariate expectiles. We present the different approaches used to construct our…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Saïd

We present a general framework for measuring the liquidity risk. The theoretical framework defines a class of risk measures that incorporate the liquidity risk into the standard risk measures. We consider a one-period risk measurement…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-31 Erindi Allaj

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Despite decades of research in risk management, most of the literature has focused on scalar risk measures (like e.g. Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall). While such scalar measures provide compact and tractable summaries, they provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-28 Michele Bonollo , Martino Grasselli , Gianmarco Mori , Havva Nilsu Oz

This paper addresses the importance of incorporating various risk measures in portfolio management and proposes a dynamic hybrid portfolio optimization model that combines the spectral risk measure and the Value-at-Risk in the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Weiping Wu , Yu Lin , Jianjun Gao , Ke Zhou

We propose a robust risk measurement approach that minimizes the expectation of overestimation plus underestimation costs. We consider uncertainty by taking the supremum over a collection of probability measures, relating our approach to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Fernanda Maria Müller , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Pengyu Qian , Zizhuo Wang , Zaiwen Wen