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There are several assumptions made in a standard $\chi^2$ analysis of data, including the frequent assumption that the likelihood function is well approximated by a multivariate Gaussian distribution. This article briefly reviews the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-02-09 Andrew W. Steiner

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Let $G_1,\dots,G_m$ be independent copies of the standard gaussian random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We show that there is an absolute constant $c$ such that for any $A \subset S^{d-1}$, with probability at least $1-2\exp(-c\Delta m)$, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

Fine regularity of stochastic processes is usually measured in a local way by local H\"older exponents and in a global way by fractal dimensions. Following a previous work of Adler, we connect these two concepts for multiparameter Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Erick Herbin , Benjamin Arras , Geoffroy Barruel

We study the posterior contraction rates of a Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors in nonparametric regression and its plug-in property for differential operators. For a general class of kernels, we establish convergence rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

Consider a measure $\mu_\lambda = \sum_x \xi_x \delta_x$ where the sum is over points $x$ of a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda$ on a bounded region in $d$-space, and $\xi_x$ is a functional determined by the Poisson points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Mathew D. Penrose , Andrew R. Wade

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

Hitting times provide a fundamental measure of distance in random processes, quantifying the expected number of steps for a random walk starting at node $u$ to reach node $v$. They have broad applications across domains such as network…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Themistoklis Haris , Fabian Spaeh , Spyros Dragazis , Charalampos Tsourakakis

We consider a recurrent random walk of i.i.d. increments on the one-dimensional integer lattice and obtain a formula relating the hitting distribution of a half-line with the potential function, $a(x)$, of the random walk. Applying it, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Kohei Uchiyama

We examine the probability that at least two eigenvalues of an Hermitian matrix-valued Gaussian process, collide. In particular, we determine sharp conditions under which such probability is zero. As an application, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Arturo Jaramillo , David Nualart

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

We consider the problem of estimating small ball probabilities $\mathbb P\{f(G) \leqslant \delta \mathbb Ef(G)\}$ for sub-additive,positively homogeneous functions $f$ with respect to the Gaussian measure. We establish estimates that depend…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Grigoris Paouris , Konstantin Tikhomirov , Petros Valettas

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We consider the problem of estimating the mean $f$ of a Gaussian vector $Y$ with independent components of common unknown variance $\sigma^{2}$. Our estimation procedure is based on estimator selection. More precisely, we start with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

For real symmetric and complex Hermitian Gaussian processes whose values are $d\times d$ matrices, we characterize the conditions under which the probability that at least $k$ eigenvalues collide is positive for $2\le k\le d$, and we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Jian Song , Yimin Xiao , Wangjun Yuan

Z^d-extensions of probability-preserving dynamical systems are themselves dynamical systems preserving an infinite measure, and generalize random walks. Using the method of moments, we prove a generalized central limit theorem for additive…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Francoise Pene , Damien Thomine

In this paper we examine isotropic Gaussian random fields defined on $\mathbb R^N$ satisfying certain conditions. Specifically, we investigate the type of a critical point situated within a small vicinity of another critical point, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Paul Marriott , Weinan Qi , Yi Shen

Given a gamma population with known shape parameter $\alpha$, we develop a general theory for estimating a function $g(\cdot)$ of the scale parameter $\beta$ with bounded variance. We begin by defining a sequential sampling procedure with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Jun Hu , Ibtihal Alanazi , Zhe Wang

We consider the gap probability for the Generalized Bessel process in the single-time and multi-time case. We prove that the scalar and matrix Fredholm determinants of such process can be expressed in terms of determinants of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Manuela Girotti

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert