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Related papers: A Posteriori Transit Probabilities

200 papers

We have investigated the probability of temporary capture of asteroids in eccentric orbits by a planet in a circular or an eccentric orbit through analytical and numerical calculations. We found that in the limit of the circular orbit, the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-22 Arika Higuchi , Shigeru Ida

The Kepler Mission has detected dozens of compact planetary systems with more than four transiting planets. This sample provides a collection of close-packed planetary systems with relatively little spread in the inclination angles of the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-02 Juliette C. Becker , Fred C. Adams

Kepler will monitor enough stars that it is likely to detect single transits of planets with periods longer than the mission lifetime. We show that by combining the Kepler photometry of such transits with precise radial velocity (RV)…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jennifer C. Yee , B. Scott Gaudi

Transiting planet discoveries have largely been restricted to the short-period or low-periastron distance regimes due to the bias inherent in the geometric transit probability. Through the refinement of planetary orbital parameters, and…

A migrating planet can capture planetesimals into mean motion resonances. However, resonant trapping can be prevented when the drift or migration rate is sufficiently high. Using a simple Hamiltonian system for first and second order…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alice C. Quillen

The scaling of the tails of the probability of a system to percolate only in the horizontal direction $\pi_{hs}$ was investigated numerically for correlated site-bond percolation model for $q=1,2,3,4$.We have to demonstrate that the tails…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Oleg A. Vasilyev

We perform N-body simulations of young triple systems consisting of two low-mass companions orbiting around a significantly more massive primary. We find that, when the orbits of the companions are coplanar and not too widely separated, the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Krisada Rawiraswattana , Oliver Lomax , Simon P. Goodwin

This paper investigates the error probability of a stochastic decision and the way in which it differs from the error probability of an optimal decision, i.e., the maximum a posteriori decision. This paper calls attention to the fact that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Jun Muramatsu , Shigeki Miyake

Since the discovery of the first exoplanets, those most adequate for life to begin and evolve have been sought. Due to observational bias, however, most of the discovered planets so far are gas giants, precluding their habitability.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-24 Luis Ricardo M. Tusnski , Adriana Valio

We examine the case of a random isotropic velocity field, in which one of the velocity components (the "radial" component, with magnitude $v_z$) can be measured easily, while measurement of the velocity perpendicular to this component (the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-13 Robert J. Scherrer , Abraham Loeb

We report on the orbital architectures of Kepler systems having multiple planet candidates identified in the analysis of data from the first six quarters of Kepler data and reported by Batalha et al. (2013). These data show 899 transiting…

We quantify the utility of large radial velocity surveys for constraining theoretical models of Type II migration and protoplanetary disk physics. We describe a theoretical model for the expected radial distribution of extrasolar planets…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Philip J. Armitage

We recommend an intensive effort to survey and understand the obliquity distribution of small close-in extrasolar planets over the coming decade. The orbital obliquities of exoplanets--i.e., the relative orientation between the planetary…

The new approach of the regular spacing of planetary orbits and planet mass distribution in the Solar system is considered. The relative planetary distances will be represented as the inverse composite probabilities of two discrete…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. M. Bakulev

In the standard Bayesian framework data are assumed to be generated by a distribution parametrized by $\theta$ in a parameter space $\Theta$, over which a prior distribution $\pi$ is given. A Bayesian statistician quantifies the belief that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Sergiu Hart , Yosef Rinott

Position probability distribution of a set of massive mutually exclusive particles in one dimension has been defined. Examples with a given two mutually exclusive particles system are considered. It is emphasized that quantum particles at…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-28 Rasool Kheiry , Shahram Salehi

We derive some simple relations that demonstrate how the posterior convergence rate is related to two driving factors: a "penalized divergence" of the prior, which measures the ability of the prior distribution to propose a nonnegligible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-12 Wenxin Jiang

The stellar spin orientation relative to the orbital planes of multiplanet systems are becoming accessible to observations. Here, we analyze and classify different types of spin-orbit evolution in compact multiplanet systems perturbed by an…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Gwenaël Boué , Daniel Fabrycky

Continuing work initiated in an earlier publication [Sato and Asada, PASJ, 61, L29 (2009)], we consider light curves influenced by the orbital inclination and eccentricity of a companion in orbit around a transiting extrasolar planet (in a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Masanao Sato , Hideki Asada

Using speckle-interferometry we have carried out repeated measurements of relative positions for the components of 34 T Tauri binary systems. The projected separation of these components is low enough that orbital motion is expected to be…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 J. Woitas , R. Koehler , Ch. Leinert