English
Related papers

Related papers: The first passage time problem over a moving bound…

200 papers

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior (at zero and at infinity) of the favorite points of L\'evy processes. By exploring Molchan's idea for deriving lower tail probabilities of Gaussian processes with stationary increments, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Bo Li , Yimin Xiao , Xiaochuan Yang

If the step distribution in a renewal process has finite mean and regularly varying tail with index -{\alpha}, 1<{\alpha}<2, the first two terms in the asymptotic expansion of the renewal function have been known for many years. Here we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Ron Doney

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

We consider the class of (possibly killed) spectrally positive L\'evy process that have been time-changed by the inverse of an integral functional. Within this class we characterize the family of those processes which satisfy the following…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Matija Vidmar

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-12 Rick Bebon , Aljaž Godec

Let $(X_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable state space $X$, and let $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n f(X_k)$ be the associated Markov walk. For $y>0$, denote by $\tau_y$ the first time at which $y+S_n$ becomes non-positive. Assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yunfan Zhao , Xiaojing Chen

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

L\'evy walks are continuous time random walks with spatio-temporal coupling of jump lengths and waiting times, often used to model superdiffusive spreading processes such as animals searching for food, tracer motion in weakly chaotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Bartłomiej Dybiec , Karol Capała , Aleksei Chechkin , Ralf Metzler

Trawl processes belong to the class of continuous-time, strictly stationary, infinitely divisible processes; they are defined as Levy bases evaluated over deterministic trawl sets. This article presents the first nonparametric estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Orimar Sauri , Almut E. D. Veraart

For n + 1 particles moving independently on a straight line, we study the question of how long the leading position of one of them can last. Our focus is the asymptotics of the probability p(T,n) that the leader time will exceed T when n…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 G. Molchan

This paper considers a L\'evy-driven queue (i.e., a L\'evy process reflected at 0), and focuses on the distribution of $M(t)$, that is, the minimal value attained in an interval of length $t$ (where it is assumed that the queue is in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Krzysztof Debicki , Kamil Marcin Kosinski , Michel Mandjes

This article concerns the tail probabilities of a light-tailed Markov-modulated L\'evy process stopped at a state-dependent Poisson rate. The tails are shown to decay exponentially at rates given by the unique positive and negative roots of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Brendan K. Beare , Won-Ki Seo , Alexis Akira Toda

We study linearly edge-reinforced random walks on $\mathbb{Z}_+$, where each edge $\{x,x+1\}$ has the initial weight $x^{\alpha} \vee 1$, and each time an edge is traversed, its weight is increased by $\Delta$. It is known that the walk is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Masato Takei

For a L\'evy process on the real line, we provide complete criteria for the finiteness of exponential moments of the first passage time into the interval $(r,\infty)$, the sojourn time in the interval $(-\infty,r]$, and the last exit time…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-11 Frank Aurzada , Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

We study the distribution of occupation times for a one-dimensional random walk restricted to a finite interval by reflecting boundary conditions. At short times the classical bimodal distribution due to L\'evy is reproduced with walkers…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-06 Sascha Kaldasch , Andreas Engel

We study the small-time asymptotics of sample paths of L\'evy processes and L\'evy-type processes. Namely, we investigate under which conditions the limit $$\limsup_{t \to 0} \frac{1}{f(t)} |X_t-X_0|$$ is finite resp.\ infinite with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Franziska Kühn

For both Levy flight and Levy walk search processes we analyse the full distribution of first-passage and first-hitting (or first-arrival) times. These are, respectively, the times when the particle moves across a point at some given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-15 V. V. Palyulin , G. Blackburn , M. A. Lomholt , N. W. Watkins , R. Metzler , R. Klages , A. V. Chechkin

The first-passage time is proposed as an independent thermodynamic parameter of the statistical distribution that generalizes the Gibbs distribution. The theory does not include the determination of the first passage statistics itself. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-22 V. V. Ryazanov