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Dealers in foreign exchange markets provide bid and ask prices to their clients at which they are happy to buy and sell, respectively. To manage risk, dealers can skew their quotes and hedge in the interbank market. Hedging offers certainty…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alexander Barzykin

We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-03 Jonathan Donier , Julius Bonart , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We present a perturbation theory of the market impact based on an extension of the framework proposed by [Loeper, 2018] -- originally based on [Liu and Yong, 2005] -- in which we consider only local linear market impact. We study the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 Emilio Said

Estimating market impact and transaction costs of large trades (metaorders) is a very important topic in finance. However, using models of price and trade based on public market data provide average price trajectories which are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-04 Manuel Naviglio , Giacomo Bormetti , Francesco Campigli , German Rodikov , Fabrizio Lillo

Market impact is a key concept in the study of financial markets and several models have been proposed in the literature so far. The Transient Impact Model (TIM) posits that the price at high frequency time scales is a linear combination of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-09 Damian Eduardo Taranto , Giacomo Bormetti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Fabrizio Lillo , Bence Toth

The impact of trades on asset prices is a crucial aspect of market dynamics for academics, regulators and practitioners alike. Recently, universal and highly nonlinear master curves were observed for price impacts aggregated on all…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Felix Patzelt , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this comment we discuss the problem of reconciling the linear efficiency of price returns with the long-memory of supply and demand. We present new evidence that shows that efficiency is maintained by a liquidity imbalance that co-moves…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Szabolcs Mike

We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-30 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Henri Waelbroeck

Market impact has become a subject of increasing concern among academics and industry experts. We put forward a price impact model which considers the heteroscedasticity of price in the time dimension and dependency between permanent impact…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Shiyu Han , Lan Wu , Yuan Cheng

We analyze a proprietary dataset of trades by a single asset manager, comparing their price impact with that of the trades of the rest of the market. In the context of a linear propagator model we find no significant difference between the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bence Toth , Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We propose a non-linear observation-driven version of the Hasbrouck (1991) model for dynamically estimating trades' market impact and information content. We find that market impact displays an intraday pattern superimposed with large…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 F. Campigli , G. Bormetti , F. Lillo

We study the problem of the optimal execution of a large trade in the presence of nonlinear transient impact. We propose an approach based on homotopy analysis, whereby a well behaved initial strategy is continuously deformed to lower the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-17 Gianbiagio Curato , Jim Gatheral , Fabrizio Lillo

We consider the problem of hedging a European contingent claim in a Bachelier model with transient price impact as proposed by Almgren and Chriss. Following the approach of Rogers and Singh and Naujokat and Westray, the hedging problem can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-27 Peter Bank , Mete Soner , Moritz Voß

Applied macroeconomists frequently use impulse response estimators motivated by linear models. We study whether the estimands of such procedures have a causal interpretation when the true data generating process is in fact nonlinear. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Michal Kolesár , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We study the market impact of a meta-order in the framework of the Minority Game. This amounts to studying the response of the market when introducing a trader who buys or sells a fixed amount h for a finite time T. This perturbation…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-29 Andre Cardoso Barato , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Marco Bardoscia , Matteo Marsili

In this paper, we use a database of around 400,000 metaorders issued by investors and electronically traded on European markets in 2010 in order to study market impact at different scales. At the intraday scale we confirm a square root…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-09 Emmanuel Bacry , Adrian Iuga , Matthieu Lasnier , Charles-Albert Lehalle

This paper considers how to classify the effects of interventions in causal models for outcomes and exposures observed over time. First, we demonstrate the limitations of the most common uses of potential outcomes and causal directed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Russell Steele , Naftali Weinberger , Tess Baker , Ian Shrier

We propose a general framework to describe the impact of different events in the order book, that generalizes previous work on the impact of market orders. Two different modeling routes can be considered, which are equivalent when only…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-19 Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Julien Kockelkoren

We introduce a first theory of price impact in presence of an interest-rates term structure. We explain how one can formulate instantaneous and transient price impact on bonds with different maturities, including a cross price impact that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-16 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Eyal Neuman

We model a nonlinear price curve quoted in a market as the utility indifference curve of a representative liquidity supplier. As the utility function we adopt a g-expectation. In contrast to the standard framework of financial engineering,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-07 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mitja Stadje
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