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We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric independent and identically distributed random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Catherine Matias

Quantifying the robustness of neural networks or verifying their safety properties against input uncertainties or adversarial attacks have become an important research area in learning-enabled systems. Most results concentrate around the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-11 Mahyar Fazlyab , Manfred Morari , George J. Pappas

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Hybrid Gibbs samplers represent a prominent class of approximated Gibbs algorithms that utilize Markov chains to approximate conditional distributions, with the Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm standing out as a well-known example. Despite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Qian Qin , Nianqiao Ju , Guanyang Wang

Reasonably large perturbations may push a power grid from its stable synchronous state into an undesirable state. Identifying vulnerabilities in power grids by studying power grid stability against such perturbations can aid in preventing…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-08-26 Calvin Alvares , Soumitro Banerjee

We present a general framework for applying learning algorithms and heuristical guidance to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of our techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive…

We consider the problem of the construction of the Goodness-of-Fit test in the case of continuous time observations of a diffusion process with small noise. The null hypothesis is parametric and we use a minimum distance estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Maroua Ben Abdeddaiem

Standard chance constrained control algorithms typically rely on the assumption that uncertainties in vehicle states obey Gaussian statistics. Highly nonlinear systems tend to disrupt Gaussianity, challenging standard chance-constrained…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Ethan Burnett , Spencer Boone

We seek to infer the parameters of an ergodic Markov process from samples taken independently from the steady state. Our focus is on non-equilibrium processes, where the steady state is not described by the Boltzmann measure, but is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-19 Simon Lee Dettmer , Johannes Berg

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

In a complex system, perturbations propagate by following paths on the network of interactions among the system's units. In contrast to what happens with the spreading of epidemics, observations of general perturbations are often very…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Francesco Alessandro Massucci , Jonathan Wheeler , Raul Beltran-Debon , Jorge Joven , Marta Sales-Pardo , Roger Guimera

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov

In the design of probabilistic timed systems, bounded requirements concerning behaviour that occurs within a given time, energy, or more generally cost budget are of central importance. Traditionally, such requirements have been…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-19 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Arnd Hartmanns

Verification of infinite-state Markov chains is still a challenge despite several fruitful numerical or statistical approaches. For decisive Markov chains, there is a simple numerical algorithm that frames the reachability probability as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Benoît Barbot , Patricia Bouyer , Serge Haddad

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

Simulation-based verification algorithms can provide formal safety guarantees for nonlinear and hybrid systems. The previous algorithms rely on user provided model annotations called discrepancy function, which are crucial for computing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-09 Chuchu Fan , Sayan Mitra

In this paper, we derive an approximation for throughput of TCP Compound connections under random losses. Throughput expressions for TCP Compound under a deterministic loss model exist in the literature. These are obtained assuming the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-01-25 Sudheer Poojary , Vinod Sharma

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal