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We prove a new and general concentration inequality for the excess risk in least-squares regression with random design and heteroscedastic noise. No specific structure is required on the model, except the existence of a suitable function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Adrien Saumard

We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Rohit K. Patra

We study the statistical properties of the least squares estimator in unimodal sequence estimation. Although closely related to isotonic regression, unimodal regression has not been as extensively studied. We show that the unimodal least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-10 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , John Lafferty

We consider the estimation of a structural function which models a non-parametric relationship between a response and an endogenous regressor given an instrument in presence of dependence in the data generating process. Assuming an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

This paper extends the standard chaining technique to prove excess risk upper bounds for empirical risk minimization with random design settings even if the magnitude of the noise and the estimates is unbounded. The bound applies to many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 Gábor Balázs , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We study the least squares regression function estimator over the class of real-valued functions on $[0,1]^d$ that are increasing in each coordinate. For uniformly bounded signals and with a fixed, cubic lattice design, we establish that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Qiyang Han , Tengyao Wang , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Richard J. Samworth

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

This paper investigates the finite-sample prediction risk of the high-dimensional least squares estimator. We derive the central limit theorem for the prediction risk when both the sample size and the number of features tend to infinity.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Zeng Li , Chuanlong Xie , Qinwen Wang

We consider the estimation of a regression function with random design and heteroscedastic noise in a nonparametric setting. More precisely, we address the problem of characterizing the optimal penalty when the regression function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Adrien Saumard

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

The problem of prediction in functional linear regression is conventionally addressed by reducing dimension via the standard principal component basis. In this paper we show that an alternative basis chosen through weighted least-squares,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-20 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Tatiyana V. Apanasovich

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of a convex regression function $\phi_0$. We study the risk of the least squares estimator (LSE) under the natural squared error loss. We show that the risk is always bounded from above by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-10 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

We consider the problem of estimating an unknown $\theta\in {\mathbb{R}}^n$ from noisy observations under the constraint that $\theta$ belongs to certain convex polyhedral cones in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$. Under this setting, we prove bounds for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Estimating linear regression using least squares and reporting robust standard errors is very common in financial economics, and indeed, much of the social sciences and elsewhere. For thick tailed predictors under heteroskedasticity this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Neil Shephard

This paper provides a unified framework for analyzing tensor estimation problems that allow for nonlinear observations, heteroskedastic noise, and covariate information. We study a general class of high-dimensional models where each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Riccardo Rossetti , Galen Reeves

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

We study the performance of empirical risk minimization on the $p$-norm linear regression problem for $p \in (1, \infty)$. We show that, in the realizable case, under no moment assumptions, and up to a distribution-dependent constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Ayoub El Hanchi , Murat A. Erdogdu

This work studies an experimental design problem where {the values of a predictor variable, denoted by $x$}, are to be determined with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-03 David Azriel

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi
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