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The macroscopic study of hydrodynamic turbulence is equivalent, at an abstract level, to the microscopic study of a heat flow for a suitable mechanical system. Turbulent fluctuations (intermittency) then correspond to thermal fluctuations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-19 David Ruelle

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

The time-reversal symmetry of nonequilibrium fluctuations is experimentally investigated in two out-of-equilibrium systems namely, a Brownian particle in a trap moving at constant speed and an electric circuit with an imposed mean current.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 David Andrieux , Pierre Gaspard , Sergio Ciliberto , Nicolas Garnier , Sylvain Joubaud , Artyom Petrosyan

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

Wind turbines operate in the atmospheric boundary layer, where they are exposed to the turbulent atmospheric flows. As the response time of wind turbine is typically in the range of seconds, they are affected by the small scale intermittent…

The paper discusses a variant of the local similarity theory, employing the second moment of vertical velocity and the "spectral" Prandtl mixing length as basic parameters. This approach allows expressing the turbulent exchange coefficient,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-10 A. N. Vulfson , P. V. Nikolaev

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We establish almost sure invariance principles, a strong form of approximation by Brownian motion, for non-stationary time-series arising as observations on dynamical systems. Our examples include observations on sequential expanding maps,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-06-18 N. Haydn , M. Nicol , A. Tôrôk , S. Vaienti

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

We compare the fluctuations in the velocity and in the fraction of time spent at a given position for minimal models of a passive and an active particle: an asymmetric random walker and a run-and-tumble particle in continuous time and on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-03 Emil Mallmin , Richard A Blythe , Martin R Evans

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

In this paper, we introduce and study different dissipativity notions and different turnpike properties for discrete-time stochastic nonlinear optimal control problems. The proposed stochastic dissipativity notions extend the classic notion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Jonas Schießl , Michael H. Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

Using experimental transverse velocities data for very high Reynolds number turbulence, we suggest a model describing both formation of intermittency and asymmetry of turbulence. The model, called "bump-model" is a modification of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 S. I. Vainshtein

In this paper we propose a simple yet powerful vortex method to numerically approximate the dynamics of an incompressible flow. The idea is to sample the distribution of the initial vortices of the fluid flow in question then follow vortex…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-10-27 Zhongmin Qian , Youchun Qiu , Yihuang Zhang

We study relative dispersion of passive scalar in non-ideal cases, i.e. in situations in which asymptotic techniques cannot be applied; typically when the characteristic length scale of the Eulerian velocity field is not much smaller than…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Boffetta , A. Celani , M. Cencini , G. Lacorata , A. Vulpiani

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

Building upon the intrinsic properties of Navier-Stokes dynamics, namely the prevalence of intense vortical structures and the interrelationship between vorticity and strain rate, we propose a simple framework to quantify the extreme events…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-14 Dhawal Buaria , Alain Pumir

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 François Bavaud
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