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We consider the problem of simultaneous detection and estimation under a sequential framework. In particular we are interested in sequential tests that distinguish between the null and the alternative hypothesis and every time the decision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

In small sample studies with binary outcome data, use of a normal approximation for hypothesis testing can lead to substantial inflation of the type-I error-rate. Consequently, exact statistical methods are necessitated, and accordingly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a discrete-time stochastic process with a distribution $P_\theta$, $\theta\in\Theta$, where $\Theta$ is an open subset of the real line. We consider the problem of testing a simple hypothesis $H_0:$ $\theta=\theta_0$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-23 Andrey Novikov , Petr Novikov

This work presents a statistically principled method for estimating the required number of instances in the experimental comparison of multiple algorithms on a given problem class of interest. This approach generalises earlier results by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-06 Felipe Campelo , Elizabeth F. Wanner

Hierarchical inference in (generalized) regression problems is powerful for finding significant groups or even single covariates, especially in high-dimensional settings where identifiability of the entire regression parameter vector may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

This paper shows that sequential statistical analysis techniques can be generalised to the problem of selecting between alternative forecasting methods using scoring rules. A return to basic principles is necessary in order to show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-15 David T. Frazier , Donald S. Poskitt

In genetic association studies, detecting phenotype-genotype association is a primary goal. We assume that the relationship between the data -phenotype, genetic markers and environmental covariates - can be modelled by a generalized linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-13 K. K. Halle , Ø. Bakke , S. Djurovic , A. Bye , E. Ryeng , U. Wisløff , O. A. Andreassen , M. Langaas

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thomas Burnett , Thomas Jaki

Identifying dependency in multivariate data is a common inference task that arises in numerous applications. However, existing nonparametric independence tests typically require computation that scales at least quadratically with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Shai Gorsky , Li Ma

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

This paper studies sequential methods for recovery of sparse signals in high dimensions. When compared to fixed sample size procedures, in the sparse setting, sequential methods can result in a large reduction in the number of samples…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Matthew L. Malloy , Robert Nowak

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Multiple hypothesis testing, a situation when we wish to consider many hypotheses, is a core problem in statistical inference that arises in almost every scientific field. In this setting, controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-19 Shiyun Chen , Shiva Kasiviswanathan

The Bonferroni multiple testing procedure is commonly perceived as being overly conservative in large-scale simultaneous testing situations such as those that arise in microarray data analysis. The objective of the present study is to show…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 Alexander Gordon , Galina Glazko , Xing Qiu , Andrei Yakovlev

Background: Experimental treatments pass through various stages of development. If a treatment passes through early phase experiments, the investigators may want to assess it in a late phase randomised controlled trial. An efficient way to…

We study the problem of sequentially testing whether a given stochastic process is generated by a known Markov chain. Formally, given access to a stream of random variables, we want to quickly determine whether this sequence is a trajectory…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-24 Greg Fields , Tara Javidi , Shubhanshu Shekhar

Sequential inspection is a technique employed to monitor product quality during the production process. For smaller batch sizes, the Acceptable Quality Limit(AQL) inspection theory is typically applied, whereas for larger batch sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Dihong Huang