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Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

In this paper, we consider a multistage expected utility maximization problem where the decision maker's utility function at each stage depends on historical data and the information on the true utility function is incomplete. To mitigate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

The two-stage process of propensity score analysis (PSA) includes a design stage where propensity scores are estimated and implemented to approximate a randomized experiment and an analysis stage where treatment effects are estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Shirley Liao , Corwin Zigler

We revisit $M$-ary classification of Gutman (TIT 1989), where one is tasked to determine whether a testing sequence is generated with the same distribution as one of the $M$ training sequences or not. Our main result is a two-phase test,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Lin Zhou , Jun Diao , Lin Bai

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Ordinal user-provided ratings across multiple items are frequently encountered in both scientific and commercial applications. Whilst recommender systems are known to do well on these type of data from a predictive point of view, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Sjoerd Hermes

We propose a new approach to the semiparametric analysis of panel data binary choice models with fixed effects and dynamics (lagged dependent variables). The model we consider has the same random utility framework as in Honore and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

The paper addresses the problem of computing maximal conditional expected accumulated rewards until reaching a target state (briefly called maximal conditional expectations) in finite-state Markov decision processes where the condition is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Christel Baier , Joachim Klein , Sascha Klüppelholz , Sascha Wunderlich

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by the observations of deterministic signal in white gaussian noise. It is supposed that the signal has a singularity of cusp-type. The properties of the maximum likelihood and bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Dachian , Yury Kutoyants

In this paper, we have developed a new class of sampling schemes for estimating parameters of binomial and Poisson distributions. Without any information of the unknown parameters, our sampling schemes rigorously guarantee prescribed levels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-11 Xinjia Chen

A recommender system learns to predict the user-specific preference or intention over many items simultaneously for all users, making personalized recommendations based on a relatively small number of observations. One central issue is how…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Ben Dai , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Applications of structural equation models (SEMs) are often restricted to linear associations between variables. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in non-linear models may be complex and require numerical integration. Furthermore, ML…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-15 Klaus Kähler Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen

When assessing the causal effect of a binary exposure using observational data, confounder imbalance across exposure arms must be addressed. Matching methods, including propensity score-based matching, can be used to deconfound the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

Opinion dynamics models such as the bounded confidence models (BCMs) describe how a population can reach consensus, fragmentation, or polarization, depending on a few parameters. Connecting such models to real-world data could help…

Proper scoring rules are used to assess the out-of-sample accuracy of probabilistic forecasts, with different scoring rules rewarding distinct aspects of forecast performance. Herein, we re-investigate the practice of using proper scoring…

Naive maximum likelihood estimation of binary logit models with fixed effects leads to unreliable inference due to the incidental parameter problem. We study the case of three-dimensional panel data, where the model includes three sets of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Amrei Stammann

The two-level normal hierarchical model has played an important role in statistical theory and applications. In this paper, we first introduce a general adjusted maximum likelihood method for estimating the unknown variance component of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

In high-dimensional data analysis, bi-level sparsity is often assumed when covariates function group-wisely and sparsity can appear either at the group level or within certain groups. In such cases, an ideal model should be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Bin Luo , Xiaoli Gao
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