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Related papers: Solar-cycle precursors and predictions

200 papers

The Sun shows a global magnetic field cycle traditionally best visible in the photosphere as a changing sunspot cycle featuring roughly an 11 year period. In addition we know that our host star also harbours small-scale magnetic fields…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-20 D. Utz , R. Muller , T. Van Doorsselaere

The Sun exhibits a well-observed modulation in the number of spots on its disk over a period of about 11 years. From the dawn of modern observational astronomy sunspots have presented a challenge to understanding -- their quasi-periodic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 Scott W. McIntosh , Sandra C. Chapman , Robert J. Leamon , Ricky Egeland , Nicholas W. Watkins

The regular observation of the solar magnetic field is available only for about last five cycles. Thus, to understand the origin of the variation of the solar magnetic field, it is essential to reconstruct the magnetic field for the past…

Using different proxies of solar activity, we have studied the following features of solar cycle. (i) A linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle and its decay rate, (ii) a linear correlation between the amplitude of cycle $n$ and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Gopal Hazra , Bidya Binay Karak , Dipankar Banerjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Thirty-four years of WSO (Wilcox Solar Observatory) and thirteen years of SOHO/MDI (Michelson Doppler Imager on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory) magnetograms have been studied to measure the east-west inclination angle, indicating…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-03-23 Leyan Lo , Todd Hoeksema , Phil Scherrer

Maunder Minimum forms an archetype for the Grand minima, and detailed knowledge of its temporal development has important consequences for the solar dynamo theory dealing with long-term solar activity evolution. Here we reconsider the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego , I. G. Usoskin , G. A. Kovaltsov

Analysis of synoptic data from the Vector Stokes Magnetograph (VSM) of the Synoptic Optical Long-term Investigations of the Sun (SOLIS) and the NASA/NSO Spectromagnetograph (SPM) at the NSO/Kitt Peak Vacuum Telescope facility shows that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-09 Alexander V. Mordvinov , Alexei A. Pevtsov , Luca Bertello , Gordon J. D. Petrie

We present a nonlinear mean-field model of the solar interior dynamics and dynamo, which reproduces the observed cyclic variations of the global magnetic field of the Sun, as well as the differential rotation and meridional circulation.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 V. V. Pipin , A. G. Kosovichev

The present paper reviews results derived from statistical studies on solar activity indices. The prolonged minimum phase of cycle 23 raised the question of peculiarities inherent in cycle 23. The most important solar activity index is the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-03 M. Temmer

A theory is described based on resonant thermal diffusion waves in the sun that appears to explain many details of the paleotemperature record for the last 5.3 million years. These include the observed periodicities, the relative strengths…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-05-19 Robert Ehrlich

In this work we introduce a new way of binning sunspot group data with the purpose of better understanding the impact of the solar cycle on sunspot properties and how this defined the characteristics of the extended minimum of cycle 23. Our…

Long-term records of sunspot number and concentrations of cosmogenic radionuclides (10Be and 14C) on the Earth reveal the variation of the Sun's magnetic activity over hundreds and thousands of years. We identify several clear periods in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 T. V. Zaqarashvili , R. Oliver , A. Hanslmeier , M. Carbonell , J. L. Ballester , T. Gachechiladze , I. G. Usoskin

We test recent claims that the polar field at the end of Cycle 23 was weakened by a small number of large, abnormally oriented regions, and investigate what this means for solar cycle prediction. We isolate the contribution of individual…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-22 T. Whitbread , A. R. Yeates , A. Muñoz-Jaramillo

We obtain the latitude-time distribution of the averaged tilt angle of solar bipoles. For large bipoles, which are mainly bipolar sunspot groups, the spatially averaged tilt angle is positive in the Northern solar hemisphere and negative in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 A. Tlatov , E. Illarionov , D. Sokoloff , V. Pipin

Solar cycles vary in their amplitude and shape. There are several empirical relations between various parameters linking cycle's shape and amplitude, in particular the Waldmeier relations. As solar cycle is believed to be a result of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-24 V. V. Pipin , D. D. Sokoloff , I. G. Usoskin

Predictions of solar cycle 24 obtained from advection-dominated and diffusion-dominated kinematic dynamo models are different if the Babcock-Leighton mechanism is the only source of the poloidal field. Yeates et al. (2008) argue that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 Soumitra Hazra , Allan Sacha Brun , Dibyendu Nandy

Solar active regions (ARs) determine solar polar fields and cause solar cycle variability within the framework of the Babcock-Leighton (BL) dynamo. The contribution of an AR to the polar field is measured by its dipole field, which results…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-03 Ruihui Wang , Jie Jiang , Yukun Luo

Solar activity in all its varied manifestations is driven by the magnetic field. Particularly important for many purposes are two global quantities, the Sun's total and open magnetic flux, which can be computed from sunspot number records…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-09 N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , B. Hofer , C. -J. Wu , I. G. Usoskin , R. Cameron

In this thesis, various studies are performed leading to better understanding of the 11-year solar cycle and its theoretical modeling with the flux transport dynamo model. Although this is primarily a theoretical thesis, there is a part…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-26 Gopal Hazra

In addition to sunspots, which represent the most easily visualized manifestation of solar magnetism, cutting-edge observations of the solar atmosphere have uncovered a plethora of magnetic flux tubes, down to the resolving power of modern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-27 M. Stangalini , G. Verth , V. Fedun , D. Perrone , M. Berretti , P. Bushby , S. Jafarzadeh , D. B. Jess , F. Giannattasio , P. H. Keys , R. Bruno , F. Berrilli