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Developing and improving computational approaches to covering news can increase journalistic output and improve the way stories are covered. In this work we approach the problem of covering crime stories in Los Angeles. We present a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Alexander Spangher , Divya Choudhary

We consider the stochastic linear contextual bandit problem with high-dimensional features. We analyze the Thompson sampling algorithm using special classes of sparsity-inducing priors (e.g., spike-and-slab) to model the unknown parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Sunrit Chakraborty , Saptarshi Roy , Ambuj Tewari

We use high resolution data to investigate the association between crime incidence and proximity to different types of public schools over the past fifteen years in the city of Philadelphia. We employ two statistical methods, regression…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Leonardo de Castro Harth , Bangxi Xiao , Shane T. Jensen

In this paper, we develop a method to estimate the infection-rate of a disease, over a region, as a field that varies in space and time. To do so, we use time-series of case-counts of symptomatic patients as observed in the areal units that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Cosmin Safta , Wyatt Bridgman , Jaideep Ray

This study investigates the spatial distribution of emergency alarm call events to identify spatial covariates associated with the events and discern hotspot regions for the events. The study is motivated by the problem of developing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Fekadu L. Bayisa , Markus Ådahl , Patrik Rydén , Ottmar Cronie

Small-area mortality estimation is inherently difficult, as random fluctuations from low death counts can obscure real geographic differences. We introduce a flexible model that borrows strength across age, space, and time to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Jacob Martin , Carlo Giovanni Camarda

This article deals with the spatio-temporal sensors deployment in order to maximize detection probability of an intelligent and randomly moving target in an area under surveillance. Our work is based on the rare events simulation framework.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Chouchane Mathieu , Paris Sébastien , Le Gland François , Ouladsine Mustapha

Reducing traffic fatalities and serious injuries is a top priority of the US Department of Transportation. The computer vision (CV)-based crash anticipation in the near-crash phase is receiving growing attention. The ability to perceive…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-08 Yu Li , Muhammad Monjurul Karim , Ruwen Qin

Recent advances in local models for point processes have highlighted the need for flexible methodologies to account for the spatial heterogeneity of external covariates influencing process intensity. In this work, we introduce tessellated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Nicoletta D'Angelo

In this work, the spread of crime dynamics in the US is analyzed from a mathematical scope, an epidemiological model is established, including five compartments: Susceptible (S), Latent 1 (E1), Latent 2 (E2), Incarcerated (I), and Recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 Michael Aguadze , Ana Vivas , Sujan Pant , Kubilay Dagtoros

Investigating relationships between response variables and covariates in areas such as environmental science, geoscience, and public health is an important endeavor. Based on a Bayesian mixture of finite mixtures model, we present a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Peng Zhao , Hou-Cheng Yang , Dipak K. Dey , Guanyu Hu

Time series domain adaptation aims to transfer the complex temporal dependence from the labeled source domain to the unlabeled target domain. Recent advances leverage the stable causal mechanism over observed variables to model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ruichu Cai , Junxian Huang , Zhenhui Yang , Zijian Li , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Fuchun Sun

Many causal processes have spatial and temporal dimensions. Yet the classic causal inference framework is not directly applicable when the treatment and outcome variables are generated by spatio-temporal point processes. We extend the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Georgia Papadogeorgou , Kosuke Imai , Jason Lyall , Fan Li

Modelling of precipitation and its extremes is important for urban and agriculture planning purposes. We present a method for producing spatial predictions and measures of uncertainty for spatio-temporal data that is heavy-tailed and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic

Spatial areal models encounter the well-known and challenging problem of spatial confounding. This issue makes it arduous to distinguish between the impacts of observed covariates and spatial random effects. Despite previous research and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 A. Urdangarin , T. Goicoa , T. Kneib , M. D. Ugarte

The analysis of spatial point patterns that occur in the network domain have recently gained much attraction and various intensity functions and measures have been proposed. However, the linkage of spatial network statistics to regression…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-25 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

This survey paper presents a comprehensive analysis of crime prediction methodologies, exploring the various techniques and technologies utilized in this area. The paper covers the statistical methods, machine learning algorithms, and deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Kamal Taha

Successful Human-Robot collaboration requires a predictive model of human behavior. The robot needs to be able to recognize current goals and actions and to predict future activities in a given context. However, the spatio-temporal sequence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Judith Bütepage , Danica Kragic

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani