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Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy, and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behavior, such as retaliation. Serious crimes may also be presaged by minor crimes of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Alex Reinhart , Joel Greenhouse

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

Researchers regard crime as a social phenomenon that is influenced by several physical, social, and economic factors. Different types of crimes are said to have different motivations. Theft, for instance, is a crime that is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Deborah Djon , Jitesh Jhawar , Kieron Drumm , Vincent Tran

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

Motivated by a dataset of burglaries in Chicago, USA, we introduce a novel framework to analyze time series of count data combining common multivariate time series models with latent position network models. This novel methodology allows us…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-26 Hardeep Kaur , Riccardo Rastelli

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Li Mao , Wei Du , Shuo Wen , Qi Li , Tong Zhang , Wei Zhong

This paper focuses on finding spatial and temporal criminal hotspots. It analyses two different real-world crimes datasets for Denver, CO and Los Angeles, CA and provides a comparison between the two datasets through a statistical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Tahani Almanie , Rsha Mirza , Elizabeth Lor

Crime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the challenging…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Cristina Kadar , Rudolf Maculan , Stefan Feuerriegel

Crime prediction is crucial for public safety and resource optimization, yet is very challenging due to two aspects: i) the dynamics of criminal patterns across time and space, crime events are distributed unevenly on both spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Xiyue Zhang , Tianyi Chen

Analyses of occurrences of residential burglary in urban areas have shown that crime rates are not spatially homogeneous: rates vary across the network of city streets, resulting in some areas being far more susceptible to crime than…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-02 Elizabeth Upton , Luis Carvalho

From a statistical point of view, crime data present certain peculiarities that have led to a growing interest in their analysis. In particular, a characteristic that some property crimes frequently present is the existence of uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Álvaro Briz-Redón

Extreme events with potential deadly outcomes, such as those organized by terror groups, are highly unpredictable in nature and an imminent threat to society. In particular, quantifying the likelihood of a terror attack occurring in an…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-02 Lekha Patel , Lyndsay Shand , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

To obtain operational insights regarding the crime of burglary in London we consider the estimation of effects of covariates on the intensity of spatial point patterns. By taking into account localised properties of criminal behaviour, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-25 Jan Povala , Seppo Virtanen , Mark Girolami

Traditional crime prediction techniques are slow and inefficient when generating predictions as crime increases rapidly \cite{r15}. To enhance traditional crime prediction methods, a Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit model was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Patricia Dao , Jashmitha Sappa , Saanvi Terala , Tyson Wong , Michael Lam , Kevin Zhu

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

Crime prevention measures, aiming for the effective and efficient spending of public resources, rely on the empirical analysis of spatial and temporal data for public safety outcomes. We perform a variable-density cluster analysis on crime…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ben Moews

Crimes emerge out of complex interactions of human behaviors and situations. Linkages between crime incidents are highly complex. Detecting crime linkage given a set of incidents is a highly challenging task since we only have limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-25 Shixiang Zhu , Yao Xie
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