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This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a functions of its summands as their number tends to infinity. The conditioning event is of moderate or…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a function of its summands as their number tends to infinity. In the large deviation range of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Knowing which latent conditions lead to a particular outcome is useful for critically examining claims made about complex event outcomes. Identifying implied conditions and examining their influence on an outcome is challenging. We handle…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sai Vallurupalli , Francis Ferraro

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

We present a comparative study between classical probability and quantum probability from the Bayesian viewpoint, where probability is construed as our rational degree of belief on whether a given statement is true. From this viewpoint,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Tsubasa Ichikawa

We compare two approaches to embedding joint distributions of random variables recorded under different conditions (such as spins of entangled particles for different settings) into the framework of classical, Kolmogorovian probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

Conformal predictors are set predictors that are automatically valid in the sense of having coverage probability equal to or exceeding a given confidence level. Inductive conformal predictors are a computationally efficient version of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-25 Vladimir Vovk

Simple representations of documents based on the occurrences of terms are ubiquitous in areas like Information Retrieval, and also frequent in Natural Language Processing. In this work we propose a logical-probabilistic approach to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2011-06-03 Alvaro Francisco Huertas-Rosero , C. J. van Rijsbergen

We introduce a new discrete coherence monotone named the \emph{coherence number}, which is a generalization of the coherence rank to mixed states. After defining the coherence number in a similar manner to the Schmidt number in entanglement…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-10-26 Seungbeom Chin

We study a renewal problem within a periodic environment, departing from the classical renewal theory by relaxing the assumption of independent and identically distributed inter-arrival times. Instead, the conditional distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Quentin Cormier

A classical Borel Cantelli Lemma gives conditions for deciding whether an infinite number of rare events will almost surely happen. In this article, we propose an extension of Borel Cantelli Lemma to characterize the multiple occurrence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Bassam Fayad , Sixu Liu

Random variables representing measurements, broadly understood to include any responses to any inputs, form a system in which each of them is uniquely identified by its content (that which it measures) and its context (the conditions under…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-01-24 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Víctor H. Cervantes , Janne V. Kujala

We study weakest precondition reasoning about the (co)variance of outcomes and the variance of run-times of probabilistic programs with conditioning. For outcomes, we show that approximating (co)variances is computationally more difficult…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-06-28 Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Collapsibility deals with the conditions under which a conditional (on a covariate W) measure of association between two random variables X and Y equals the marginal measure of association, under the assumption of homogeneity over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 P. Vellaisamy

Simple quantitative measures of indeterminism and signalling, $I$ and $S$, are defined for models of statistical correlations. It is shown that any such model satisfies a generalised Bell-type inequality, with tight upper bound B(I,S). This…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-12-30 Michael J. W. Hall

This paper proposes a new approach to estimating the distribution of a response variable conditioned on observing some factors. The proposed approach possesses desirable properties of flexibility, interpretability, tractability and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Cheng Peng , Stanislav Uryasev

Randomization tests allow simple and unambiguous tests of null hypotheses, by comparing observed data to a null ensemble in which experimentally-controlled variables are randomly resampled. In behavioral and neuroscience experiments,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Kenneth D. Harris , Kevin J. Miller

In this paper, the defining properties of a valid measure of the dependence between two random variables are reviewed and complemented with two original ones, shown to be more fundamental than other usual postulates. While other popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Gery Geenens , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux

Let $A_1, A_2, \ldots, A_n$ be events in a sample space. Given the probability of the intersection of each collection of up to $k+1$ of these events, what can we say about the probability that at least $r$ of the events occur? This question…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Ilan Adler , Richard M. Karp , Sheldon M. Ross

We show how the problem of estimating conditional Kendall's tau can be rewritten as a classification task. Conditional Kendall's tau is a conditional dependence parameter that is a characteristic of a given pair of random variables. The…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian
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