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We present an original and novel method based on random matrix approach that enables to distinguish the respective role of temporal autocorrelations inside given time series and cross correlations between various time series. The proposed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-18 Michal Sawa , Dariusz Grech

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

A new scheme of the iterative perturbation theory is proposed for the strongly correlated electron systems with orbital degeneracy. The method is based on the modified self-energy of Yeyati, et al. which interpolates between the weak and…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Saso

Networks of weakly coupled oscillators had a profound impact on our understanding of complex systems. Studies on model reconstruction from data have shown prevalent contributions from hypernetworks with triplet and higher interactions among…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Eddie Nijholt , Jorge Luis Ocampo-Espindola , Deniz Eroglu , István Z. Kiss , Tiago Pereira

We present an analytic method to determine spectral properties of the covariance matrices constructed of correlated Wishart random matrices. The method gives, in the limit of large matrices, exact analytic relations between the spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Zdzislaw Burda , Jerzy Jurkiewicz , Bartlomiej Waclaw

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

A challenging problem in the study of complex systems is that of resolving, without prior information, the emergent, mesoscopic organization determined by groups of units whose dynamical activity is more strongly correlated internally than…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-04-21 Mel MacMahon , Diego Garlaschelli

We show that results from the theory of random matrices are potentially of great interest to understand the statistical structure of the empirical correlation matrices appearing in the study of price fluctuations. The central result of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Laurent Laloux , Pierre Cizeau , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) as a nonparametric tool for decomposition of an observed time series into sum of interpretable components such as trend, oscillations and noise is considered. The separability of these series components by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-25 Nina Golyandina , Alex Shlemov

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA), starting from the second half of the XX century, has been a rapidly developing method of time series analysis. Since it can be called principal component analysis for time series, SSA will definitely be a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-26 Nina Golyandina

A novel approach to analyzing time series generated by complex systems, such as markets, is presented. The basic idea of the approach is the {\it Law of Self-Similar Evolution}, according to which any complex system develops self-similarly.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

Many applications collect a large number of time series, for example, the financial data of companies quoted in a stock exchange, the health care data of all patients that visit the emergency room of a hospital, or the temperature sequences…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Catastrophic events, though rare, do occur and when they occur, they have devastating effects. It is, therefore, of utmost importance to understand the complexity of the underlying dynamics and signatures of catastrophic events, such as…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-25 Anirban Chakraborti , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Sourish Das , Rakesh Chatterjee , Thomas H. Seligman

In many applications, weighted networks are constructed based on time series data: each time series is associated to a vertex and edge weights are given by pairwise correlations. The result is a network whose edge dependency structure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Keith Levin

In this work, we present a new approach for constructing models for correlation matrices with a user-defined graphical structure. The graphical structure makes correlation matrices interpretable and avoids the quadratic increase of…

The Wishart model of random covariance or correlation matrices continues to find ever more applications as the wealth of data on complex systems of all types grows. The heavy tails often encountered prompt generalizations of the Wishart…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Thomas Guhr , Andreas Schell

We consider the large-sparse symmetric linear systems of equations that arise in the solution of weak constraint four-dimensional variational data assimilation, a method of high interest for numerical weather prediction. These systems can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Ieva Daužickaitė , Amos S. Lawless , Jennifer A. Scott , Peter Jan van Leeuwen

In data science, individual observations are often assumed to come independently from an underlying probability space. Kernel matrices formed from large sets of such observations arise frequently, for example during classification tasks. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-27 Mikhail Lepilov

The spectral form factor is a dynamical probe for level statistics of quantum systems. The early-time behaviour is commonly interpreted as a characterization of two-point correlations at large separation. We argue that this interpretation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-07 Wouter Buijsman , Vadim Cheianov , Vladimir Gritsev

We show that correlation matrices with particular average and variance of the correlation coefficients have a notably restricted spectral structure. Applying geometric methods, we derive lower bounds for the largest eigenvalue and the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Yuriy Stepanov , Hendrik Herrmann , Thomas Guhr