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We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-31 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

In this paper, we present the Gaussian process regression as the predictive model for Quality-of-Service (QoS) attributes in Web service systems. The goal is to predict performance of the execution system expressed as QoS attributes given…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-05-09 Jakub M. Tomczak , Jerzy Swiatek , Krzysztof Latawiec

We introduce a class of self-similar Gaussian processes and provide sufficient and necessary conditions for a member of the class to admit a unique small scale limit in the Skorokhod space. The class includes several well known processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Viktor Skorniakov

A gentle introduction to Gaussian processes (GPs). The three parts of the document consider GPs for regression, classification, and dimensionality reduction.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Mark Ebden

We develop a quasi-likelihood analysis procedure for a general class of multivariate marked point processes. As a by-product of the general method, we establish under stability and ergodicity conditions the local asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Simon Clinet

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Our paper is devoted to the oscillator semigroup, which can be defined as the set of operators whose kernels are centered Gaussian. Equivalently, they can be defined as the the Weyl quantization of centered Gaussians. We use the Weyl symbol…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-17 Jan Dereziński , Maciej Karczmarczyk

In this article we introduce and study oscillating Gaussian processes defined by $X_t = \alpha_+ Y_t {\bf 1}_{Y_t >0} + \alpha_- Y_t{\bf 1}_{Y_t<0}$, where $\alpha_+,\alpha_->0$ are free parameters and $Y$ is either stationary or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

Suppose that $\gamma$ and $\sigma$ are two continuous bounded variation paths which take values in a finite-dimensional inner product space $V$. Recent papers have introduced the truncated and the untruncated signature kernel of $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons , Xingcheng Xu

Bayesian neural networks attempt to combine the strong predictive performance of neural networks with formal quantification of uncertainty associated with the predictive output in the Bayesian framework. However, it remains unclear how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Chris J. Oates , François-Xavier Briol

Gaussian process regression (GPR) or kernel ridge regression is a widely used and powerful tool for nonlinear prediction. Therefore, active learning (AL) for GPR, which actively collects data labels to achieve an accurate prediction with…

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

Gaussian processes are widely employed as versatile modelling and predictive tools in spatial statistics, functional data analysis, computer modelling and diverse applications of machine learning. They have been widely studied over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Didong Li , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

McCullagh and Yang (2006) suggest a family of classification algorithms based on Cox processes. We further investigate the log Gaussian variant which has a number of appealing properties. Conditioned on the covariates, the distribution over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-23 Alexander G. de. G Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

This article discusses prior distributions for the parameters of Gaussian processes (GPs) that are widely used as surrogate models to emulate expensive computer simulations. The parameters typically involve mean parameters, a variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Mengyang Gu , Victor De Oliveira

Our paper presents an attempt to axiomatise signal processing. Our long-term goal is to formulate signal processing algorithms for an ideal world of exact computation and prove properties about them, then interpret these ideal formulations…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2011-04-06 Henning Thielemann

Artificial neural networks (NNs) have become the de facto standard in machine learning. They allow learning highly nonlinear transformations in a plethora of applications. However, NNs usually only provide point estimates without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-11 Marco F. Huber

Neural networks and Gaussian processes are complementary in their strengths and weaknesses. Having a better understanding of their relationship comes with the promise to make each method benefit from the strengths of the other. In this…