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We adapt Gaussian processes for estimating the average dose-response function in observational settings, introducing a powerful complement to treatment effect estimation for understanding heterogeneous effects. We incorporate samples from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Jake R. Dailey

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

We study a class of Gaussian processes for which the posterior mean, for a particular choice of data, replicates a truncated Taylor expansion of any order. The data consist of derivative evaluations at the expansion point and the prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Toni Karvonen , Jon Cockayne , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

In this paper, a quantum algorithm based on gaussian process regression model is proposed. The proposed quantum algorithm consists of three sub-algorithms. One is the first quantum subalgorithm to efficiently generate mean predictor. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-20 Menghan Chen , Gongde Guo , Song Lin , Jing Li

Regularized least-squares (kernel-ridge / Gaussian process) regression is a fundamental algorithm of statistics and machine learning. Because generic algorithms for the exact solution have cubic complexity in the number of datapoints, large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Simon Bartels , Philipp Hennig

The family of Mat\'ern kernels are often used in spatial statistics, function approximation and Gaussian process methods in machine learning. One reason for their popularity is the presence of a smoothness parameter that controls, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Toni Karvonen , Eric Moulines

In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

The paper considers probability distribution, density, conditional distribution and density and conditional moments as well as their kernel estimators in spaces of generalized functions. This approach does not require restrictions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Gaussian processes (GPs) are the most common formalism for defining probability distributions over spaces of functions. While applications of GPs are myriad, a comprehensive understanding of GP sample paths, i.e. the function spaces over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Nathaël Da Costa , Marvin Pförtner , Lancelot Da Costa , Philipp Hennig

A recurrent theme in functional analysis is the interplay between the theory of positive definite functions, and their reproducing kernels, on the one hand, and Gaussian stochastic processes, on the other. This central theme is motivated by…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-08-15 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen

Gaussian process regression techniques have been used in fluid mechanics for the reconstruction of flow fields from a reduction-of-dimension perspective. A main ingredient in this setting is the construction of adapted covariance functions,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-13 Adrian Padilla-Segarra , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant , Éric Savin

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Gaussian Process Regression is a well-known machine learning technique for which several quantum algorithms have been proposed. We show here that in a wide range of scenarios these algorithms show no exponential speedup. We achieve this by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Dominic Lowe , M. S. Kim , Roberto Bondesan

Motivated by applications, we introduce a general and new framework for operator valued positive definite kernels. We further give applications both to operator theory and to stochastic processes. The first one yields several dilation…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , James Tian

The solution to a multivariate linear Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) with constant initial state is well known to be a Gaussian Markov process, but its covariance kernel involves the solution to an integral equation in the general…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kerry Fendick

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Rafael Boloix-Tortosa , F. Javier Payán-Somet , Eva Arias-de-Reyna , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

The signature kernel is a kernel between time series of arbitrary length and comes with strong theoretical guarantees from stochastic analysis. It has found applications in machine learning such as covariance functions for Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Csaba Tóth , Masaki Adachi , Michael A. Osborne , Harald Oberhauser