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In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

The manner epidemics occurs in a social network depends on various elements, with two of the most influential being the relationships among individuals in the population and the mechanism of transmission. In this paper, we assume that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Francisco J. Muñoz , Luca Meacci , Juan Carlos Nuño , Mario Primicerio

Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-04 Anna Saumell-Mendiola , M. Ángeles Serrano , Marián Boguñá

We formulate a compartmental model for the propagation of a respiratory disease in a patchy environment. The patches are connected through the mobility of individuals, and we assume that disease transmission and recovery are possible during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Indrajit Ghosh , Sk Shahid Nadim , Soumyendu Raha , Debnath Pal

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

Understanding the dynamics of the spread of diseases within populations is critical for effective public health interventions. We extend the classical SIR model by incorporating additional complexities such as the introduction of a cure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-30 Daniel Perkins , Davis Hunter , Drake Brown , Trevor Garrity , Wyatt Pochman

Understanding interactions between the spread of multiple pathogens during an epidemic is crucial to assessing the severity of infections in human communities. In this paper, we introduce two new Multiplex Bi-Virus Reaction-Diffusion models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-22 Alyssa Yu , Laura P. Schaposnik

Multigraphs are graphs in which multiple links between pairs of nodes are allowed, whereas they are forbidden in simple graphs, the latter being widely used in network science. Simple graphs generated by the configuration model have served…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-29 Paulo H. Lorenzoni , Wesley Cota , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

Typically, contagion strength is modeled by a transmission rate $\lambda$, whereby all nodes in a network are treated uniformly in a mean-field approximation. However, local agents react differently to the same contagion based on their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-28 Pouya Manshour , Afshin Montakhab

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

From footpaths to flight routes, human mobility networks facilitate the spread of communicable diseases. Control and elimination efforts depend on characterizing these networks in terms of connections and flux rates of individuals between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Kyle B Gustafson , Basil S. Bayati , Philip A. Eckhoff

Many real networks exhibit a layered structure in which links in each layer reflect the function of nodes on different environments. These multiple types of links are usually represented by a multiplex network in which each layer has a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-19 C. Buono , L. G. Alvarez Zuzek , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

In this paper, we propose a Boltzmann-type kinetic model of the spreading of an infectious disease on a network. The latter describes the connections among countries, cities or districts depending on the spatial scale of interest. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-25 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of complex and realistic scenarios that go from the population to the individual level of description. However, most epidemic models assume that the spreading process takes place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Joaquín Sanz , Cheng-Yi Xia , Sandro Meloni , Yamir Moreno

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani