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The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Consider the fundamental problem of drawing a simple random sample of size k without replacement from [n] := {1, . . . , n}. Although a number of classical algorithms exist for this problem, we construct algorithms that are even simpler,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Daniel Ting

In statistics and machine learning, the traditional meaning of the terms `outlier' and `anomaly' is a case in the dataset that behaves differently from the bulk of the data. This raises suspicion that it may belong to a different…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Mia Hubert , Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Randomness extraction is the process of constructing a source of randomness of high quality from one or several sources of randomness of lower quality. The problem can be modeled using probability distributions and min-entropy to measure…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Marius Zimand

Consider a fixed universe of $N=2^n$ elements and the uniform distribution over elements of some subset of size $K$. Given samples from this distribution, the task of complement sampling is to provide a sample from the complementary subset.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-02 Marcello Benedetti , Harry Buhrman , Jordi Weggemans

Although algorithmic randomness with respect to various non-uniform computable measures is well-studied, little attention has been paid to algorithmic randomness with respect to computable \emph{trivial} measures, where a measure $\mu$ on…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Christopher P. Porter

We consider the problem of choosing the best of $n$ samples, out of a large random pool, when the sampling of each member is associated with a certain cost. The quality (worth) of the best sample clearly increases with $n$, but so do the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Joseph D. Skufca , Daniel ben-Avraham

The traditional maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is often of limited use in complex high-dimensional data due to the intractability of the underlying likelihood function. Maximum composite likelihood estimation (McLE) avoids full…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Davide Ferrari , Guoqi Qian

Probabilistic circuits compute multilinear polynomials that represent multivariate probability distributions. They are tractable models that support efficient marginal inference. However, various polynomial semantics have been considered in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Oliver Broadrick , Honghua Zhang , Guy Van den Broeck

We considered the problem how to handle the exploding number of possibilities to be sorted into irreducible classes by using a clustering tool when its input capacity cannot accommodate the total number of the possibility. Concrete…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-20 Keishu Utimula , Genki I. Prayogo , Kousuke Nakano , Kenta Hongo , Ryo Maezono

Probabilistic inference procedures are usually coded painstakingly from scratch, for each target model and each inference algorithm. We reduce this effort by generating inference procedures from models automatically. We make this code…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-13 Robert Zinkov , Chung-chieh Shan

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models when the likelihood function is numerically unavailable. However, the well-established statistical method of empirical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-05 K. L. Mengersen , P. Pudlo , C. P. Robert

A construction of product measures is given for an arbitrary sequence of measure spaces via outer measure techniques without imposing any condition on the underlying measure spaces. This approach concludes finally the problem of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Juan Carlos Sampedro

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

There exist multiple methods to detect outliers in multivariate data in the literature, but most of them require to estimate the covariance matrix. The higher the dimension, the more complex the estimation of the matrix becoming impossible…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 P. Navarro-Esteban , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Daniil Ryabko

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Nested sampling has emerged as a valuable tool for Bayesian analysis, in particular for determining the Bayesian evidence. The method is based on a specific type of random sampling of the likelihood function and prior volume of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Charles R. Keeton

Predictive mean matching (PMM) is a popular imputation strategy that imputes missing values by borrowing observed values from other cases with similar expectations. We show that, unlike other imputation strategies, PMM is not guaranteed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Paul T. von Hippel

This paper presents theoretical results on combining non-probability and probability survey samples through mass imputation, an approach originally proposed by Rivers (2007) as sample matching without rigorous theoretical justification.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Jae Kwang Kim , Seho Park , Yilin Chen , Changbao Wu