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We present a framework to calculate the cascade size evolution for a large class of cascade models on random network ensembles in the limit of infinite network size. Our method is exact and applies to network ensembles with almost arbitrary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Rebekka Burkholz , Frank Schweitzer

Cascade models are central to understanding, predicting, and controlling epidemic spreading and information propagation. Related optimization, including influence maximization, model parameter inference, or the development of vaccination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush

The number of extant individuals within a lineage, as exemplified by counts of species numbers across genera in a higher taxonomic category, is known to be a highly skewed distribution. Because the sublineages (such as genera in a clade)…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-09 Panagis Moschopoulos , Max Shpak

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

The Galton--Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The diameter distribution of a given species of deciduous trees in mature, temperate zone forests is well approximated by a Gamma distribution. Here we give new experimental evidence for this conjecture by analyzing deciduous tree size data…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-17 Szabolcs Kelemen , Máté Józsa , Tibor Hartel , György Csóka , Zoltán Néda

Branching processes are widely used to model phenomena from networks to neuronal avalanching. In a large class of continuous-time branching processes, we study the temporal scaling of the moments of the instant population size, the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Johannes Pausch , Benjamin Walter , Gunnar Pruessner

Understanding cascading processes on complex network topologies is paramount for modelling how diseases, information, fake news and other media spread. In this paper, we extend the multi-type branching process method developed in Keating et…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-02 Leah A. Keating , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan

How big is the risk that a few initial failures of nodes in a network amplify to large cascades that span a substantial share of all nodes? Predicting the final cascade size is critical to ensure the functioning of a system as a whole. Yet,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-12 Rebekka Burkholz , Hans J. Herrmann , Frank Schweitzer

Modeling electromagnetic cascades during gamma-ray transport is important in many applications within astrophysics. This document introduces $\gamma$-Cascade, a publicly available Mathematica package which allows users to calculate observed…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2019-01-28 Carlos Blanco

We present an analytical approach to determining the expected cascade size in a broad range of dynamical models on the class of random networks with arbitrary degree distribution and nonzero clustering introduced in [M.E.J. Newman, Phys.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-06 Adam Hackett , Sergey Melnik , James P. Gleeson

Measurements of a weighted energy density average taken in the vacuum state of a conformal field theory in $1+1$ dimensions are randomly distributed with vanishing expectation value. The probability distribution is computed in closed form…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-01-29 Matthew C. Anthony , Christopher J. Fewster

The dynamics of diffusion in complex networks are widely studied to understand how entities, such as information, diseases, or behaviors, spread in an interconnected environment. Complex networks often present community structure, and tools…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Alina Dubovskaya , Caroline B. Pena , David J. P. O'Sullivan

Cascades on random networks are typically analyzed by assuming they map onto percolation processes and then are solved using generating function formulations. This approach assumes that the network is infinite and weakly connected, yet…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-29 Daniel E. Whitney

How big is the risk that a few initial failures of networked nodes amplify to large cascades that endanger the functioning of the system? Common answers refer to the average final cascade size. Two analytic approaches allow its computation:…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-19 Rebekka Burkholz

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

Geometrical random multiplicative cascade processes are often used to model positive-valued multifractal fields such as for example the energy dissipation field of fully developed turbulence. A dynamical generalisation of these models is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Juergen Schmiegel , Hans C. Eggers , Martin Greiner

By modeling the transition paths of the nuclear $\gamma$-decay cascade using a scale-free random network, we uncover a universal power-law distribution of $\gamma$-ray intensity $\rho_I(I) \propto I^{-2}$, with $I$ the $\gamma$-ray…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-03-17 Keisuke Fujii , Julian C. Berengut

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

We propose a model which explains how power-law crossover behaviour can arise in a system which is capable of experiencing cascading failure. In our model the susceptibility of the system to cascades is described by a single number, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-16 James Burridge
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