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When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

The coalescent is a foundational model of latent genealogical trees under neutral evolution, but suffers from intractable sampling probabilities. Methods for approximating these sampling probabilities either introduce bias or fail to scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Martina Favero , Jere Koskela

The classic multispecies coalescent (MSC) model provides the means for theoretical justification of incomplete lineage sorting-aware species tree inference methods. A large body of work in phylogenetics is dedicated to the design of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Alexey Markin , Oliver Eulenstein

Effective population size characterizes the genetic variability in a population and is a parameter of paramount importance in population genetics. Kingman's coalescent process enables inference of past population dynamics directly from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Mandev S. Gill , Philippe Lemey , Shannon N. Bennett , Roman Biek , Marc A. Suchard

The population density and per-generation dispersal rate of a population are central parameters in the study of evolution and ecology. The distribution of recent coalescent events between individuals in space can be used to estimate such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-14 Francisco Campuzano Jiménez , Arthur Zwaenepoel , Els Lea R De Keyzer , Hannes Svardal

We review recent progress in the understanding of the role of multiple- and simultaneous multiple merger coalescents as models for the genealogy in idealised and real populations with exceptional reproductive behaviour. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Matthias Birkner , Jochen Blath

We consider a population model where individuals behave independently from each other and whose genealogy is described by a chronological tree called splitting tree. The individuals have i.i.d. (non-exponential) lifetime durations and give…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Mathieu Richard

Phylogenetic networks extend phylogenetic trees to allow for modeling reticulate evolutionary processes such as hybridization. They take the shape of a rooted, directed, acyclic graph, and when parameterized with evolutionary parameters,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-28 R. A. L. Elworth , H. A. Ogilvie , J. Zhu , L. Nakhleh

An important problem in evolutionary genomics is to investigate whether a certain trait measured on each sample is associated with the sample phylogenetic tree. The phylogenetic tree represents the shared evolutionary history of the samples…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-22 Julie Zhang , Gabriel A. Preising , Molly Schumer , Julia A. Palacios

We consider a stochastic evolutionary model for a phenotype developing amongst n related species with unknown phylogeny. The unknown tree is modelled by a Yule process conditioned on n contemporary nodes. The trait value is assumed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Serik Sagitov

Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

Phylogenetic trees are a central tool in understanding evolution. They are typically inferred from sequence data, and capture evolutionary relationships through time. It is essential to be able to compare trees from different data sources…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-31 Michelle Kendall , Caroline Colijn

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. The structure of a biological population affects which traits evolve. Understanding evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations is difficult. Precise results have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Benjamin Allen , Gabor Lippner , Yu-Ting Chen , Babak Fotouhi , Naghmeh Momeni , Martin A. Nowak , Shing-Tung Yau

Rooted phylogenetic networks are used to describe evolutionary histories that contain non-treelike evolutionary events such as hybridization and horizontal gene transfer. In some cases, such histories can be described by a phylogenetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-03 Laura Jetten , Leo van Iersel

Null models of binary phylogenetic trees are useful for testing hypotheses on real world phylogenies. In this paper we consider phylogenies as binary trees without edge lengths together with a sampling measure and encode them as algebraic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Josué Nussbaumer , Anita Winter

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

Study sample sizes in human genetics are growing rapidly, and in due course it will become routine to analyze samples with hundreds of thousands if not millions of individuals. In addition to posing computational challenges, such large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-24 Anand Bhaskar , Andrew G. Clark , Yun S. Song

In evolutionary biology, the speciation history of living organisms is represented graphically by a phylogeny, that is, a rooted tree whose leaves correspond to current species and branchings indicate past speciation events. Phylogenies are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-02 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Sebastien Roch

The reconstruction of large phylogenetic trees from data that violates clocklike evolution (or as a supertree constructed from any m input trees) raises a difficult question for biologists - how can one assign relative dates to the vertices…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tanja Gernhard , Daniel Ford , Rutger Vos , Mike Steel