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The paper introduces a novel topological method for prediction and modeling for a nonlinear time--series that exhibit recurring patterns. According to the model, global manifold of the reconstructed state--space can be approximated by a few…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-21 Sajini Anand P S , Prabhakar G Vaidya

In this paper, I will introduce a new form of regression, that can adjust overfitting and underfitting through, "distance-based regression." Overfitting often results in finding false patterns causing inaccurate results, so by having a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Dylan Wilson

We develop here a novel transfer learning methodology called Profiled Transfer Learning (PTL). The method is based on the \textit{approximate-linear} assumption between the source and target parameters. Compared with the commonly assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Ziqian Lin , Junlong Zhao , Fang Wang , Hansheng Wang

We consider regression models with parametric (linear or nonlinear) regression function and allow responses to be ``missing at random.'' We assume that the errors have mean zero and are independent of the covariates. In order to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Ursula U. Müller

We consider a nonlinear polynomial regression model in which we wish to test the null hypothesis of structural stability in the regression parameters against the alternative of a break at an unknown time. We derive the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-23 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Piotr Kokoszka

Linear regression with normally distributed errors - including particular cases such as ANOVA, Student's t-test or location-scale inference - is a widely used statistical procedure. In this case the ordinary least squares estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-18 Alain Desgagné

Expectiles were introduced by Newey and Powell (1987) in the context of linear regression models. Recently, Bellini et al. (2014) revealed that expectiles can also be seen as reasonable law-invariant risk measures. In this article, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Volker Krätschmer , Henryk Zähle

This article addresses the following problems: 1) First, a nonlinearity analysis is made looking for the presence of nonlinearities in an early phase of the identification process. The level and the nature of the nonlinearities should be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Johan Schoukens , Mark Vaes , Rik Pintelon

We propose nonparametric methods for functional linear regression which are designed for sparse longitudinal data, where both the predictor and response are functions of a covariate such as time. Predictor and response processes have smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Fang Yao , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang

Non-linear renewal theory is extended to include random walks perturbed by both a slowly changing sequence and a stationary one. Main results include a version of the Key Renewal Theorem, a derivation of the limiting distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Dong-Yun Kim , Michael Woodroofe

Ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression is one of the most basic statistical techniques for data analysis. In the main stream literature and the statistical education, the study of linear regression is typically restricted to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja

In fitting a mixture of linear regression models, normal assumption is traditionally used to model the error and then regression parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE). This procedure is not valid if the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-06 Yanyuan Ma , Shaoli Wang , Lin Xu , Weixin Yao

Across scientific domains, a fundamental challenge is to characterize and compute the mappings from underlying physical processes to observed signals and measurements. While nonlinear neural networks have achieved considerable success, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Alexander DeLise , Kyle Loh , Krish Patel , Meredith Teague , Andrea Arnold , Matthias Chung

A new statistical technique for constructing linear latent structure (LLS) models from available data, supported by well established theoretical results and an efficient algorithm, is presented. The method reduces the problem of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 I. Akushevich , M. Kovtun , A. I. Yashin , K. G. Manton

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

The merit of projecting data onto linear subspaces is well known from, e.g., dimension reduction. One key aspect of subspace projections, the maximum preservation of variance (principal component analysis), has been thoroughly researched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Erik Thordsen , Erich Schubert

Linear regression is a data analysis technique, which is categorized as supervised learning. By utilizing known data, we can predict unknown data. Recently, researchers have explored the use of quantum annealing (QA) to perform linear…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-14 Asuka Koura , Takashi Imoto , Katsuki Ura , Yuichiro Matsuzaki

Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

When predicting scalar responses in the situation where the explanatory variables are functions, it is sometimes the case that some functional variables are related to responses linearly while other variables have more complicated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-29 Heng Lian

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra