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Given a knowledge base KB containing first-order and statistical facts, we consider a principled method, called the random-worlds method, for computing a degree of belief that some formula Phi holds given KB. If we are reasoning about a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-25 A. J. Grove , J. Y. Halpern , D. Koller

Probability theory and Dempster-Shafer theory are two germane theories to represent and handle uncertain information. Recent study suggested a transformation to obtain the negation of a probability distribution based on the maximum entropy.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Xinyang Deng , Wen Jiang

Uncertainty is an important feature of dynamic systems, and entropy has been widely used to measure this attribute. In this Letter, we prove that state aggregation and decomposition can decrease and increase the entropy, respectively, of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Lirong Cui , Xiangchen Li , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

We argue that there is a fundamental problem regarding the analysis that serves as the foundation for the papers {\it Information theory explanation of the fluctuation theorem, maximum entropy production and self-organized criticality in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Glenn C. Paquette

I discuss the design of the method of entropic inference as a general framework for reasoning under conditions of uncertainty. The main contribution of this discussion is to emphasize the pragmatic elements in the derivation. More…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-12-19 Ariel Caticha

The study of intelligent systems explains behaviour in terms of economic rationality. This results in an optimization principle involving a function or utility, which states that the system will evolve until the configuration of maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Pedro Hack

We introduce a novel notion of invariance feedback entropy to quantify the state information that is required by any controller that enforces a given subset of the state space to be invariant. We establish a number of elementary properties,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Mahendra Singh Tomar , Matthias Rungger , Majid Zamani

The entropy maximum approach (Maxent) was developed as a minimization of the subjective uncertainty measured by the Boltzmann--Gibbs--Shannon entropy. Many new entropies have been invented in the second half of the 20th century. Now there…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-07 A. N. Gorban

Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

The product expansion of conditional probabilities for belief nets is not maximum entropy. This appears to deny a desirable kind of assurance for the model. However, a kind of guarantee that is almost as strong as maximum entropy can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Norman C. Dalkey

One of the most important aspects in any treatment of uncertain information is the rule of combination for updating the degrees of uncertainty. The theory of belief functions uses the Dempster rule to combine two belief functions defined by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Michael S. K. M. Wong , P. Lingras

After the justification of the maximum entropy approach for equilibrium thermodynamic system, and of a maximum path entropy algorithm for nonequilibrium thermodynamic systems by virtue of the principle of virtual work, we present in this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-18 Qiuping A. Wang

This paper states the case for applying the conceptual and analytic tools associated with the study of entropy in physical systems to cognition, focusing on creative cognition. It is proposed that minds modify their contents and adapt to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-14 Liane Gabora

I explore the possibility that the laws of physics might be laws of inference rather than laws of nature. What sort of dynamics can one derive from well-established rules of inference? Specifically, I ask: Given relevant information…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Ariel Caticha

Even today, the concept of entropy is perceived by many as quite obscure. The main difficulty is analyzed as being fundamentally due to the subjectivity and anthropocentrism of the concept that prevent us to have a sufficient distance to…

General Physics · Physics 2022-10-21 Didier Lairez

The field of complex networks studies a wide variety of interacting systems by representing them as networks. To understand their properties and mutual relations, the randomisation of network connections is a commonly used tool. However,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-18 Noam Abadi , Franco Ruzzenenti

For the purpose of causal inference we employ a stochastic model of the data generating process, utilizing individual propensity probabilities for the treatment, and also individual and counterfactual prognosis probabilities for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Brian Knaeble , Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi , Mark A. Abramson

The quantification of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in terms of conditional entropy and mutual information, respectively, has recently become quite common in machine learning. While the properties of these measures, which are rooted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Lisa Wimmer , Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Bern Bischl , Eyke Hüllermeier

Recommendations based on behavioral data may be faced with ambiguous statistical evidence. We consider the case of association rules, relevant e.g.~for query and product recommendations. For example: Suppose that a customer belongs to…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-01-12 Rasmus Pagh , Morten Stöckel

Uncertainty is an important concept in physics laboratory instruction. However, little work has examined how students reason about uncertainty beyond the introductory (intro) level. In this work we aimed to compare intro and beyond-intro…

Physics Education · Physics 2023-10-26 Emily M. Stump , Mark Hughes , Gina Passante , N. G. Holmes