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Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. A purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alan Bundy

Posibilistic logic is the most extended approach to handle uncertain and partially inconsistent information. Regarding normal forms, advances in possibilistic reasoning are mostly focused on clausal form. Yet, the encoding of real-world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Gonzalo E. Imaz

Many proofs in discrete mathematics and theoretical computer science are based on the probabilistic method. To prove the existence of a good object, we pick a random object and show that it is bad with low probability. This method is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Pat Morin , Wolfgang Mulzer , Tommy Reddad

We present a proof-theoretic analysis of the logic NL$\lambda$ (Barker \& Shan 2014, Barker 2019). We notably introduce a novel calculus of proof nets and prove it is sound and complete with respect to the sequent calculus for the logic. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Richard Moot

We present a logic for Proximity-based Understanding of Conditionals (PUC-Logic) that unifies the Counterfactual and Deontic logics proposed by David Lewis. We also propose a natural deduction system (PUC-ND) associated to this new logic.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-02-10 R. Q. A Fernandes , E. H. Haeusler , L. C. P. D Pereira

Arriving at the complete probabilistic knowledge of a domain, i.e., learning how all variables interact, is indeed a demanding task. In reality, settings often arise for which an individual merely possesses partial knowledge of the domain,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Ardavan Salehi Nobandegani , Ioannis N. Psaromiligkos

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

We present Bluebell, a program logic for reasoning about probabilistic programs where unary and relational styles of reasoning come together to create new reasoning tools. Unary-style reasoning is very expressive and is powered by…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Jialu Bao , Emanuele D'Osualdo , Azadeh Farzan

This article is an extension of the results of two earlier articles. In [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell. Syst. 8 (1993) 711-725] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a criterion function called the metaconflict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

The unification of logic and probability is a long-standing concern in AI, and more generally, in the philosophy of science. In essence, logic provides an easy way to specify properties that must hold in every possible world, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Vaishak Belle

This paper investigates the possibility of performing automated reasoning in probabilistic logic when probabilities are expressed by means of linguistic quantifiers. Each linguistic term is expressed as a prescribed interval of proportions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade , Lluis Godo , Ramon Lopez de Mantaras

A random set is a generalisation of a random variable, i.e. a set-valued random variable. The random set theory allows a unification of other uncertainty descriptions such as interval variable, mass belief function in Dempster-Shafer theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Hermann G. Matthies

Rule based classifiers that use the presence and absence of key sub-strings to make classification decisions have a natural mechanism for quantifying the uncertainty of their precision. For a binary classifier, the key insight is to treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 James Nutaro , Ozgur Ozmen

While a large body of work has scrutinized the meaning of conditional sentences, considerably less attention has been paid to formal models of their pragmatic use and interpretation. Here, we take a probabilistic approach to pragmatic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Britta Grusdt , Daniel Lassiter , Michael Franke

Jakob Bernoulli, working in the late 17th century, identified a gap in contemporary probability theory. He cautioned that it was inadequate to specify force of proof (probability of provability) for some kinds of uncertain arguments. After…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Brian Shay , Patrick Brazil

This article deals with plausible reasoning from incomplete knowledge about large-scale spatial properties. The availableinformation, consisting of a set of pointwise observations,is extrapolated to neighbour points. We make use of belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Jerome Lang , Philippe Muller

Several authors have explained that the likelihood ratio measures the strength of the evidence represented by observations in statistical problems. This idea works fine when the goal is to evaluate the strength of the available evidence for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Paul-Andre Monney

This paper introduces Probabilistic Deduction (PD) as an approach to probabilistic structured argumentation. A PD framework is composed of probabilistic rules (p-rules). As rules in classical structured argumentation frameworks, p-rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Xiuyi Fan