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This paper considers inference over distributed linear Gaussian models using factor graphs and Gaussian belief propagation (BP). The distributed inference algorithm involves only local computation of the information matrix and of the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-01 Jian Du , Shaodan Ma , Yik-Chung Wu , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

Learned neural solvers have successfully been used to solve combinatorial optimization and decision problems. More general counting variants of these problems, however, are still largely solved with hand-crafted solvers. To bridge this gap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Jonathan Kuck , Shuvam Chakraborty , Hao Tang , Rachel Luo , Jiaming Song , Ashish Sabharwal , Stefano Ermon

Belief propagation (BP) algorithm is a widely used message-passing method for inference in graphical models. BP on loop-free graphs converges in linear time. But for graphs with loops, BP's performance is uncertain, and the understanding of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Dong Liu , Minh Thành Vu , Zuxing Li , Lars K. Rasmussen

Belief propagation is a fundamental message-passing algorithm for numerous applications in machine learning. It is known that belief propagation algorithm is exact on tree graphs. However, belief propagation is run on loopy graphs in most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Yitao Chen , Deepanshu Vasal

Belief Propagation (BP) is a simple probabilistic inference algorithm, consisting of passing messages between nodes of a graph representing a probability distribution. Its analogy with a neural network suggests that it could have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Vincent Bouttier , Renaud Jardri , Sophie Deneve

It is known that fixed points of loopy belief propagation (BP) correspond to stationary points of the Bethe variational problem, where we minimize the Bethe free energy subject to normalization and marginalization constraints.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Tomas Werner

Belief Propagation has been widely used for marginal inference, however it is slow on problems with large-domain variables and high-order factors. Previous work provides useful approximations to facilitate inference on such models, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-15 Sameer Singh , Sebastian Riedel , Andrew McCallum

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

This paper addresses the problem of distributed learning of average belief with sequential observations, in which a network of $n>1$ agents aim to reach a consensus on the average value of their beliefs, by exchanging information only with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Kaiqing Zhang , Yang Liu , Ji Liu , Mingyan Liu , Tamer Başar

A primary motivation for reasoning under uncertainty is to derive decisions in the face of inconclusive evidence. However, Shafer's theory of belief functions, which explicitly represents the underconstrained nature of many reasoning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Thomas M. Strat

Modern Artificial Intelligence achieves remarkable predictive power by optimizing statistical risk functionals over vast corpora. Yet a gap separates this from genuine intelligence: the inability to distinguish correlation from causation.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Ernest Fokoué

Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) inferences are much more congruous than they have been perceived historically in the scientific community (cf., Reid and Cox 2015; Kass 2011; Efron 1998). Most practitioners are probably more…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Suzanne Thornton , Minge Xie

Uplift modeling is crucial in various applications ranging from marketing and policy-making to personalized recommendations. The main objective is to learn optimal treatment allocations for a heterogeneous population. A primary line of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Preetam Nandy , Xiufan Yu , Wanjun Liu , Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Shaunak Chatterjee

Causal theory is now widely developed with many applications to medicine and public health. However within the discipline of reliability, although causation is a key concept in this field, there has been much less theoretical attention. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Xuewen Yu , Jim Q. Smith , Linda Nichols

Belief Propagation (BP) is a popular, distributed heuristic for performing MAP computations in Graphical Models. BP can be interpreted, from a variational perspective, as minimizing the Bethe Free Energy (BFE). BP can also be used to solve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-05-20 Andrew Gelfand , Jinwoo Shin , Michael Chertkov

Harnessing the predictive capability of Markov process models requires propagating probability density functions (beliefs) through the model. For many existing models however, belief propagation is analytically infeasible, requiring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Peter Amorese , Morteza Lahijanian

It is not unusual for a data analyst to encounter data sets distributed across several computers. This can happen for reasons such as privacy concerns, efficiency of likelihood evaluations, or just the sheer size of the whole data set. This…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-22 Randy C. S. Lai , J. Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

Distributed proofs are mechanisms enabling the nodes of a network to collectivity and efficiently check the correctness of Boolean predicates on the structure of the network, or on data-structures distributed over the nodes (e.g., spanning…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Laurent Feuilloley , Pierre Fraigniaud , Juho Hirvonen , Ami Paz , Mor Perry

The past two decades have seen a growing interest in combining causal information, commonly represented using causal graphs, with machine learning models. Probability trees provide a simple yet powerful alternative representation of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau

Traditional Bayesian random partition models assume that the size of each cluster grows linearly with the number of data points. While this is appealing for some applications, this assumption is not appropriate for other tasks such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Brenda Betancourt , Giacomo Zanella , Rebecca C. Steorts