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Deep learning methods are powerful tools in classifying multivariate time series data. Despite their high performance, these methods are hard to interpret, which diminishes their applications in high-risk domains such as healthcare. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bhavesh Kalisetti , Vincent Wang , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Maryam Bijanzadeh , Reza Abbasi-Asl

We consider the problem of diagnosis where a set of simple observations are used to infer a potentially complex hidden hypothesis. Finding the optimal subset of observations is intractable in general, thus we focus on the problem of active…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Yewen Pu , Leslie P Kaelbling , Armando Solar-Lezama

Consider a predictor who ranks eventualities on the basis of past cases: for instance a search engine ranking webpages given past searches. Resampling past cases leads to different rankings and the extraction of deeper information. Yet a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-03-04 Patrick H. O'Callaghan

We present exact algorithms for identifying deterministic-actions effects and preconditions in dynamic partially observable domains. They apply when one does not know the action model(the way actions affect the world) of a domain and must…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Eyal Amir , Allen Chang

Latent state space models are a fundamental and widely used tool for modeling dynamical systems. However, they are difficult to learn from data and learned models often lack performance guarantees on inference tasks such as filtering and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Byron Boots , J. Andrew Bagnell

To make informed decisions in natural environments that change over time, humans must update their beliefs as new observations are gathered. Studies exploring human inference as a dynamical process that unfolds in time have focused on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-03 Arthur Prat-Carrabin , Robert C. Wilson , Jonathan D. Cohen , Rava Azeredo da Silveira

Trajectory data generation is an important domain that characterizes the generative process of mobility data. Traditional methods heavily rely on predefined heuristics and distributions and are weak in learning unknown mechanisms. Inspired…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Liming Zhang , Liang Zhao , Dieter Pfoser

Two different approaches to dealing with probabilistic knowledge are examined -models and inductive inference. Examples of the first are: influence diagrams [1], Bayesian networks [2], log-linear models [3, 4]. Examples of the second are:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Norman C. Dalkey

Despite the excelling performance of machine learning models, understanding their decisions remains a long-standing goal. Although commonly used attribution methods from explainable AI attempt to address this issue, they typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Juan Miguel Lopez Alcaraz , Nils Strodthoff

The ability to accurately predict the surrounding environment is a foundational principle of intelligence in biological and artificial agents. In recent years, a variety of approaches have been proposed for learning to predict the physical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Alberto Cenzato , Alberto Testolin , Marco Zorzi

A principal barrier to training temporal relation extraction models in new domains is the lack of varied, high quality examples and the challenge of collecting more. We present a method of automatically collecting distantly-supervised…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Xinyu Zhao , Shih-ting Lin , Greg Durrett

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

Giving autonomous agents the ability to forecast their own outcomes and uncertainty will allow them to communicate their competencies and be used more safely. We accomplish this by using a learned world model of the agent system to forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Aastha Acharya , Rebecca Russell , Nisar R. Ahmed

Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

The objective of this paper is to propose a method that will generate a causal explanation of observed events in an uncertain world and then make decisions based on that explanation. Feedback can cause the explanation and decisions to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Spencer Star

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Prediction is arguably one of the most basic functions of an intelligent system. In general, the problem of predicting events in the future or between two waypoints is exceedingly difficult. However, most phenomena naturally pass through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Dinesh Jayaraman , Frederik Ebert , Alexei A. Efros , Sergey Levine

Learning linear temporal logic (LTL) formulas from examples labeled as positive or negative has found applications in inferring descriptions of system behavior. We summarize two methods to learn LTL formulas from examples in two different…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Jean-Raphaël Gaglione , Rajarshi Roy , Nasim Baharisangari , Daniel Neider , Zhe Xu , Ufuk Topcu

Here, we propose a general method for probabilistic time series forecasting. We combine an autoregressive recurrent neural network to model temporal dynamics with Implicit Quantile Networks to learn a large class of distributions over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Adèle Gouttes , Kashif Rasul , Mateusz Koren , Johannes Stephan , Tofigh Naghibi

Predictive learning uses a known state to generate a future state over a period of time. It is a challenging task to predict spatiotemporal sequence because the spatiotemporal sequence varies both in time and space. The mainstream method is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Haoyu Pan , Hao Wu , Tan Yang
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