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We introduce a generalization of temporal-difference (TD) learning to networks of interrelated predictions. Rather than relating a single prediction to itself at a later time, as in conventional TD methods, a TD network relates each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-22 Richard S. Sutton , Brian Tanner

Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Christian Schlauch , Nadja Klein , Christian Wirth

Animals exploit time to survive in the world. Temporal information is required for higher-level cognitive abilities such as planning, decision making, communication, and effective cooperation. Since time is an inseparable part of cognition,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Hamit Basgol , Inci Ayhan , Emre Ugur

In this paper, we address the discovery of robotic options from demonstrations in an unsupervised manner. Specifically, we present a framework to jointly learn low-level control policies and higher-level policies of how to use them from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Tanmay Shankar , Abhinav Gupta

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

Temporal common sense (e.g., duration and frequency of events) is crucial for understanding natural language. However, its acquisition is challenging, partly because such information is often not expressed explicitly in text, and human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Ben Zhou , Qiang Ning , Daniel Khashabi , Dan Roth

According to the dominant view, time in perceptual decision making is used for integrating new sensory evidence. Based on a probabilistic framework, we investigated the alternative hypothesis that time is used for gradually refining an…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-12 Máté Lengyel , Ádám Koblinger , Marjena Popović , József Fiser

Inference is the process of using facts we know to learn about facts we do not know. A theory of inference gives assumptions necessary to get from the former to the latter, along with a definition for and summary of the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-27 Beau Coker , Cynthia Rudin , Gary King

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Predicting the future is an important component of decision making. In most situations, however, there is not enough information to make accurate predictions. In this paper, we develop a theory of causal reasoning for predictive inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Thomas L. Dean , Keiji Kanazawa

We consider modeling the conception of knowledge in terms of temporal logic. The study of knowledge logical operations is originated around 1962 by representation of knowledge and belief using modalities. Nowadays, it is very good…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-06 Vladimir Rybakov

Temporal logic rules are often used in control and robotics to provide structured, human-interpretable descriptions of trajectory data. These rules have numerous applications including safety validation using formal methods, constraining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Emi Soroka , Rohan Sinha , Sanjay Lall

Given time series data, how can we answer questions like "what will happen in the future?" and "how did we get here?" These sorts of probabilistic inference questions are challenging when observations are high-dimensional. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Benjamin Eysenbach , Vivek Myers , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Sergey Levine

Standard probabilistic models face fundamental challenges such as data scarcity, a large hypothesis space, and poor data transparency. To address these challenges, we propose a novel probabilistic model of data-driven temporal propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Hiroyuki Kido

Temporal knowledge graph (TKG) reasoning is a crucial task that has gained increasing research interest in recent years. Most existing methods focus on reasoning at past timestamps to complete the missing facts, and there are only a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Haohai Sun , Jialun Zhong , Yunpu Ma , Zhen Han , Kun He

Machine-learning driven models have proven to be powerful tools for the identification of phases of matter. In particular, unsupervised methods hold the promise to help discover new phases of matter without the need for any prior…

Despite the recent progress in deep learning and reinforcement learning, transfer and generalization of skills learned on specific tasks is very limited compared to human (or animal) intelligence. The lifelong, incremental building of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Louis Annabi

Faced with an ever-increasing complexity of their domains of application, artificial learning agents are now able to scale up in their ability to process an overwhelming amount of information coming from their interaction with an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Mirza Ramicic , Andrea Bonarini