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Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts. However, PIT-based calibration tests for multivariate distributional forecasts face various…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-13 Malte Knüppel , Fabian Krüger , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Trustworthiness in neural networks is crucial for their deployment in critical applications, where reliability, confidence, and uncertainty play pivotal roles in decision-making. Traditional performance metrics such as accuracy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Koffi Ismael Ouattara , Ioannis Krontiris , Theo Dimitrakos , Frank Kargl

Decision makers increasingly rely on algorithmic risk scores to determine access to binary treatments including bail, loans, and medical interventions. In these settings, we reconcile two fairness criteria that were previously shown to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Claire Lazar Reich , Suhas Vijaykumar

For users to trust model predictions, they need to understand model outputs, particularly their confidence - calibration aims to adjust (calibrate) models' confidence to match expected accuracy. We argue that the traditional calibration…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Chenglei Si , Chen Zhao , Sewon Min , Jordan Boyd-Graber

Estimating the Worst-Case Execution Time (WCET) of an application is an essential task in the context of developing real-time or safety-critical software, but it is also a complex and error-prone process. Conventional approaches require at…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Martin Becker , Ravindra Metta , R Venkatesh , Samarjt Chakraborty

Tool-using agents that act in the world need to be both useful and safe. Well-calibrated model confidences can be used to weigh the risk versus reward of potential actions, but prior work shows that many models are poorly calibrated.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Nishant Subramani , Jason Eisner , Justin Svegliato , Benjamin Van Durme , Yu Su , Sam Thomson

Recent work has explored reduced numerical precision for parameters, activations, and gradients during neural network training as a way to reduce the computational cost of training (Na & Mukhopadhyay, 2016) (Courbariaux et al., 2014). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Ian Taras , Dylan Malone Stuart

Nowadays, locating software components responsible for observed failures is one of the most expensive and error-prone tasks in the software development process. To improve the debugging process efficiency, some effort was already made to…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Alexandre Perez

Miscalibration in deep learning refers to there is a discrepancy between the predicted confidence and performance. This problem usually arises due to the overfitting problem, which is characterized by learning everything presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Zongbo Han , Yifeng Yang , Changqing Zhang , Linjun Zhang , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Qinghua Hu

Model calibration usually requires optimizing some parameters (e.g., temperature) w.r.t an objective function (e.g., negative log-likelihood). In this paper, we report a plain, important but often neglected fact that the objective function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Yuli Zou , Weijian Deng , Liang Zheng

Safety-critical prediction systems, such as autonomous vehicles, weather forecasters, and medical monitors, commonly rely on probabilistic forecasters. These forecasters make predictions about possible future outcomes, and their quality and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Romeo Valentin

Model calibration aims to align confidence with prediction correctness. The Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is widely used for calibrator training, which enforces the model to increase confidence on the ground truth class. However, we find the CE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuchi Liu , Lei Wang , Yuli Zou , James Zou , Liang Zheng

Quantum error correction is an essential component for practical quantum computing on noisy quantum hardware. However, logical operations on error-corrected qubits require a significant resource overhead, especially for high-precision and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Hyeongrak Choi , Frederic T. Chong , Dirk Englund , Yongshan Ding

Consideration of the primal and dual problems together leads to important new insights into the characteristics of boosting algorithms. In this work, we propose a general framework that can be used to design new boosting algorithms. A wide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-12-13 Chunhua Shen , Hanxi Li , Nick Barnes

We introduce two new tools to assess the validity of statistical distributions. These tools are based on components derived from a new statistical quantity, the $comparison$ $curve$. The first tool is a graphical representation of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Gilles R. Ducharme , Teresa Ledwina

Many automated tasks in software maintenance rely on information retrieval techniques to identify specific information within unstructured data. Bug localization is such a typical task, where text in a bug report is analyzed to identify…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Anil Koyuncu , Tegawendé F. Bissyandé , Dongsun Kim , Kui Liu , Jacques Klein , Martin Monperrus , Yves Le Traon

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Efforts to scale-up quantum computation have reached a point where the principal limiting factor is not the number of qubits, but the entangling gate infidelity. However, the highly detailed system characterization required to understand…

In the classical non-adaptive group testing setup, pools of items are tested together, and the main goal of a recovery algorithm is to identify the "complete defective set" given the outcomes of different group tests. In contrast, the main…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-01 Abhay Sharma , Chandra R. Murthy

With ever increasing data rates produced by modern radio telescopes like LOFAR and future telescopes like the SKA, many data processing steps are overwhelmed by the amount of data that needs to be handled using limited compute resources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Sarod Yatawatta