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This paper begins with a general theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for supervised learning from examples. It is assumed that the examples are described by attribute-value pairs, where the values are symbolic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

The Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Cross Validation (CV) methods for estimating covariance hyper-parameters are compared, in the context of Kriging with a misspecified covariance structure. A two-step approach is used. First, the case of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-03 François Bachoc

This paper presents a theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for predicting real-valued attributes. The theory justifies the claim that predicting real-valued attributes requires balancing the conflicting demands of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

It is well known that model selection via cross validation can be biased for time series models. However, many researchers have argued that this bias does not apply when using cross-validation with vector autoregressions (VAR) or with time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Amaze Lusompa

We consider comparisons of statistical learning algorithms using multiple data sets, via leave-one-in cross-study validation: each of the algorithms is trained on one data set; the resulting model is then validated on each remaining data…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Lorenzo Trippa , Levi Waldron , Curtis Huttenhower , Giovanni Parmigiani

Causal inference starts with a simple idea: compare groups that differ by treatment, not much else. Traditionally, similar groups are constructed using only observed covariates; however, it remains a long-standing challenge to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Ying Jin , José Zubizarreta

We generalize fast Gaussian process leave-one-out formulae to multiple-fold cross-validation, highlighting in turn the covariance structure of cross-validation residuals in both Simple and Universal Kriging frameworks. We illustrate how…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 David Ginsbourger , Cedric Schärer

Recently many regularized estimators of large covariance matrices have been proposed, and the tuning parameters in these estimators are usually selected via cross-validation. However, there is no guideline on the number of folds for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-16 Yixin Fang , Binhuan Wang , Yang Feng

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

The crossed random effects model is widely used, finding applications in various fields such as longitudinal studies, e-commerce, and recommender systems, among others. However, these models encounter scalability challenges, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Disha Ghandwani , Swarnadip Ghosh , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique for evaluating the ability of statistical models/learning systems based on a given data set. Despite its wide applicability, the rather heavy computational cost can prevent its use as the system size…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Makoto Uemura

Nonlinear Mixed effects models are hidden variables models that are widely used in many fields such as pharmacometrics. In such models, the distribution characteristics of hidden variables can be specified by including several parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Edouard Ollier

With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Tammo Krueger , Danny Panknin , Mikio Braun

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used as an important tool in the data analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal studies. The most common form of LMMs utilize a normal distribution to model the random effects. Such assumptions can often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Daniel Bartz

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

This paper is concerned with the selection and estimation of fixed and random effects in linear mixed effects models. We propose a class of nonconcave penalized profile likelihood methods for selecting and estimating important fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Yingying Fan , Runze Li

We propose a new model selection criterion for mixed effects regression models that is computable when the model is fitted with a two-step method, even when the structure and the distribution of the random effects are unknown. The criterion…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-14 Radu V. Craiu , Thierry Duchesne

In this paper, a mixed-effect modeling scheme is proposed to construct a predictor for different features of cancer tumor. For this purpose, a set of features is extracted from two groups of patients with the same type of cancer but with…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-13 Fatemeh Nasiri , Oscar Acosta-Tamayo