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A major reason behind the success of probability calculus is that it possesses a number of valuable tools, which are based on the notion of probabilistic independence. In this paper, I identify a notion of logical independence that makes…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Adnan Darwiche

The main objective of explanations is to transmit knowledge to humans. This work proposes to construct informative explanations for predictions made from machine learning models. Motivated by the observations from social sciences, our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Freddy Lecue , Jiewen Wu

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) systems, including intelligent agents, must be able to explain their internal decisions, behaviours and reasoning that produce their choices to the humans (or other systems) with which they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Mariela Morveli-Espinoza , Ayslan Possebom , Cesar Augusto Tacla

Adding explanations to recommender systems is said to have multiple benefits, such as increasing user trust or system transparency. Previous work from other application areas suggests that specific user characteristics impact the users'…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Kathrin Wardatzky , Oana Inel , Luca Rossetto , Abraham Bernstein

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

We study Bayesian approaches to causal inference via propensity score regression. Much of the Bayesian literature on propensity score methods have relied on approaches that cannot be viewed as fully Bayesian in the context of conventional…

A salient approach to interpretable machine learning is to restrict modeling to simple models. In the Bayesian framework, this can be pursued by restricting the model structure and prior to favor interpretable models. Fundamentally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Homayun Afrabandpey , Tomi Peltola , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Samuel Kaski

Invariants are a set of properties over program attributes that are expected to be true during the execution of a program. Since developing those invariants manually can be costly and challenging, there are a myriad of approaches that…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Meriel Stein , Sebastian Elbaum , Lu Feng , Shili Sheng

Explainable AI is an emerging field providing solutions for acquiring insights into automated systems' rationale. It has been put on the AI map by suggesting ways to tackle key ethical and societal issues. Existing explanation techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Recommender systems assist users in decision-making, where the presentation of recommended items and their explanations are critical factors for enhancing the overall user experience. Although various methods for generating explanations…

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Opinion Dynamics lacks a theoretical basis. In this article, I propose to use a decision-theoretic framework, based on the updating of subjective probabilities, as that basis. We will see we get a basic tool for a better understanding of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-21 Andre C. R. Martins

This paper addresses the challenge of selecting explanations for XAI (Explainable AI)-based Intelligent Decision Support Systems (IDSSs). IDSSs have shown promise in improving user decisions through XAI-generated explanations along with AI…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yosuke Fukuchi , Seiji Yamada

This paper presents a Bayesian model for unsupervised learning of verb selectional preferences. For each verb the model creates a Bayesian network whose architecture is determined by the lexical hierarchy of Wordnet and whose parameters are…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Massimiliano Ciaramita , Mark Johnson

This paper studies the connection between probabilistic conditional independence in uncertain reasoning and data dependency in relational databases. As a demonstration of the usefulness of this preliminary investigation, an alternate proof…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Michael S. K. M. Wong , Z. W. Wang

Human explanations are often contrastive, meaning that they do not answer the indeterminate "Why?" question, but instead "Why P, rather than Q?". Automatically generating contrastive explanations is challenging because the contrastive event…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Lars Herbold , Mersedeh Sadeghi , Andreas Vogelsang

Many applications of intelligent systems require reasoning about the mental states of agents in the domain. We may want to reason about an agent's beliefs, including beliefs about other agents; we may also want to reason about an agent's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Brian Milch , Daphne Koller

Recommender systems aim to help users find relevant items more quickly by providing personalized recommendations. Explanations in recommender systems help users understand why such recommendations have been generated, which in turn makes…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Jinfeng Zhong , Elsa Negre

In this work, we empirically examine human-AI decision-making in the presence of explanations based on predicted outcomes. This type of explanation provides a human decision-maker with expected consequences for each decision alternative at…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Johannes Jakubik , Jakob Schöffer , Vincent Hoge , Michael Vössing , Niklas Kühl

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan