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Probabilistic behavior is omnipresent in computer controlled systems, in particular, so-called safety-critical hybrid systems, because of various reasons, like uncertain environments, or fundamental properties of nature. In this paper, we…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-04 Fujun Wang , Zining Cao , Lixing Tan , Zhen Li

We present Hermes 4, a family of hybrid reasoning models that combine structured, multi-turn reasoning with broad instruction-following ability. We describe the challenges encountered during data curation, synthesis, training, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Ryan Teknium , Roger Jin , Jai Suphavadeeprasit , Dakota Mahan , Jeffrey Quesnelle , Joe Li , Chen Guang , Shannon Sands , Karan Malhotra

Contemporary undertakings provide limitless opportunities for widespread application of machine reasoning and artificial intelligence in situations characterised by uncertainty, hostility and sheer volume of data. The paper develops a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Branko Ristic , Alessio Benavoli , Sanjeev Arulampalam

Selective prediction systems can mitigate harms resulting from language model hallucinations by abstaining from answering in high-risk cases. Uncertainty quantification techniques are often employed to identify such cases, but are rarely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Edward Phillips , Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Sean Wu , Anshul Thakur , David A. Clifton

We explore the application of uncertainty quantification methods to agent-based models (ABMs) using a simple sheep and wolf predator-prey model. This work serves as a tutorial on how techniques like emulation can be powerful tools in this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-09-26 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , James Salter

Artificial intelligence techniques are increasingly being applied to solve control problems, but often rely on black-box methods without transparent output generation. To improve the interpretability and transparency in control systems,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Sigur de Vries , Sander Keemink , Marcel van Gerven

One of the ways to make artificial intelligence more natural is to give it some room for doubt. Two main questions should be resolved in that way. First, how to train a model to estimate uncertainties of its own predictions? And then, what…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Alexey Kornaev , Elena Kornaeva , Oleg Ivanov , Ilya Pershin , Danis Alukaev

Automated mental health prediction using textual data has shown promising results with deep learning and large language models. However, deploying these models in high-stakes real-world settings remains challenging, as existing approaches…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yucheng Ruan , Ling Huang , Qika Lin , Kai He , Mengling Feng

Modern large language models (LLMs) employ diverse logical inference mechanisms for reasoning, making the strategic optimization of these approaches critical for advancing their capabilities. This paper systematically investigate the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Tianshi Zheng , Jiayang Cheng , Chunyang Li , Haochen Shi , Zihao Wang , Jiaxin Bai , Yangqiu Song , Ginny Y. Wong , Simon See

In order for reinforcement learning techniques to be useful in real-world decision making processes, they must be able to produce robust performance from limited data. Deep policy optimization methods have achieved impressive results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 James Queeney , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Christos G. Cassandras

Neurosymbolic AI combines the interpretability, parsimony, and explicit reasoning of classical symbolic approaches with the statistical learning of data-driven neural approaches. Models and policies that are simultaneously differentiable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Peter Graf , Patrick Emami

Model merging has emerged as a cost-efficient approximation to multitask learning. Among merging strategies, task arithmetic is notable for its simplicity and effectiveness. In this work, we provide a theoretical motivation for task vectors…

Besides the classical motivation of fusing evidence from multiple sources, modern inferential procedures based on randomization, resampling, and data splitting often introduce analyst-generated multiplicity, where aggregating outputs across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Leonardo Cella

Cybersecurity demands rigorous and scalable techniques to ensure system correctness, robustness, and resilience against evolving threats. Automated reasoning, encompassing formal logic, theorem proving, model checking, and symbolic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Sarah Veronica

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in situations where human values are at stake, such as decision-making tasks that involve reasoning when performed by humans. We investigate the so-called reasoning capabilities of LLMs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Nathaniël de Leeuw , Marceau Nahon , Mathis Reymond , Raja Chatila , Mehdi Khamassi

This paper focuses on designing expert systems to support decision making in complex, uncertain environments. In this context, our research indicates that strictly probabilistic representations, which enable the use of decision-theoretic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Samuel Holtzman , John S. Breese

Large Language Models (LLMs) are prone to hallucination with non-factual or unfaithful statements, which undermines the applications in real-world scenarios. Recent researches focus on uncertainty-based hallucination detection, which…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Kedi Chen , Qin Chen , Jie Zhou , Xinqi Tao , Bowen Ding , Jingwen Xie , Mingchen Xie , Peilong Li , Feng Zheng , Liang He

Reasoning with declarative knowledge (RDK) and sequential decision-making (SDM) are two key research areas in artificial intelligence. RDK methods reason with declarative domain knowledge, including commonsense knowledge, that is either…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Shiqi Zhang , Mohan Sridharan

The problem of finding a finite state symbolic model which is bisimilar to a hybrid dynamical system (HDS) and has the minimum number of states is considered. The considered class of HDS allows for discrete-valued inputs that only affect…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-02 Babak Tavassoli

Model-based reinforcement learning algorithms tend to achieve higher sample efficiency than model-free methods. However, due to the inevitable errors of learned models, model-based methods struggle to achieve the same asymptotic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Qi Zhou , Houqiang Li , Jie Wang