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Computation of observables in discrete stochastic, possibly conditioned, dynamics over large sparse networks is at the basis of a myriad of applications. The Matrix-Product Belief Propagation method allows a semi-analytical estimation of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-15 Federico Florio , Alfredo Braunstein

In this work, we broadly connect kernel-based filtering (e.g. approaches such as the bilateral filters and nonlocal means, but also many more) with general variational formulations of Bayesian regularized least squares, and the related…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Frank Ong , Peyman Milanfar , Pascal Getreuer

In this article we present an algorithm to compute bounds on the marginals of a graphical model. For several small clusters of nodes upper and lower bounds on the marginal values are computed independently of the rest of the network. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 B. Kappen , M. Leisink

Abstraction is essential for reducing the complexity of systems across diverse fields, yet designing effective abstraction methodology for probabilistic models is inherently challenging due to stochastic behaviors and uncertainties. Current…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Nijesh Upreti , Vaishak Belle

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

It is known that fixed points of loopy belief propagation (BP) correspond to stationary points of the Bethe variational problem, where we minimize the Bethe free energy subject to normalization and marginalization constraints.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Tomas Werner

In many applications, smooth processes generate data that is recorded under a variety of observation regimes, such as dense, sparse or fragmented observations that are often contaminated with error. The statistical goal of registering and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 James Matuk , Karthik Bharath , Oksana Chkrebtii , Sebastian Kurtek

The Bayesian approach to machine learning amounts to computing posterior distributions of random variables from a probabilistic model of how the variables are related (that is, a prior distribution) and a set of observations of variables.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Johannes Borgström , Andrew D Gordon , Michael Greenberg , James Margetson , Jurgen Van Gael

Border's theorem gives an intuitive linear characterization of the feasible interim allocation rules of a Bayesian single-item environment, and it has several applications in economic and algorithmic mechanism design. All known…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-30 Parikshit Gopalan , Noam Nisan , Tim Roughgarden

Belief propagation is a well-studied algorithm for approximating local marginals of multivariate probability distribution over complex networks, while tensor network states are powerful tools for quantum and classical many-body problems.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-08 Chu Guo , Dario Poletti , Itai Arad

In this paper, we use evidence-specific value abstraction for speeding Bayesian networks inference. This is done by grouping variable values and treating the combined values as a single entity. As we show, such abstractions can exploit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Dan Geiger , Noam Lotner

We can perform inference in Bayesian belief networks by enumerating instantiations with high probability thus approximating the marginals. In this paper, we present a method for determining the fraction of instantiations that has to be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Enrique F. Castillo , Remco R. Bouckaert , Jose M. Sarabia , Cristina Solares

Most algorithms for propagating evidence through belief networks have been exact and exhaustive: they produce an exact (point-valued) marginal probability for every node in the network. Often, however, an application will not need…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Denise L. Draper , Steve Hanks

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

Most of the object notions are embedded into a logical domain, especially when dealing with a database theory. Thus, their properties within a computational domain are not yet studied properly. The main topic of this paper is to analyze…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Viacheslav Wolfengagen

We continue to explore the hypothesis that neuronal populations represent and process analog variables in terms of probability density functions (PDFs). A neural assembly encoding the joint probability density over relevant analog variables…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Barber , J. W. Clark , C. H. Anderson

In this paper, we describe a general method for constructing the posterior distribution of an option price. Our framework takes as inputs the prior distributions of the parameters of the stochastic process followed by the underlying, as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-12-02 Henryk Gzyl , Enrique ter Horst , Samuel Malone

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll

Belief propagation is an algorithm that is known from statistical physics and computer science. It provides an efficient way of calculating marginals that involve large sums of products which are efficiently rearranged into nested products…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Tim Ritmeester , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

There is an increasing interest in scaling tensor network methods through belief propagation (BP), as well as increasing the accuracy of BP through tensor network methods. We develop a unification framework that takes an arbitrary graphical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Pedro Hack , Jonas Hitter , Christian B. Mendl , Alexandru Paler