Related papers: Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis Using Fuzzy Influe…
In this paper we propose a novel approach for learning from data using rule based fuzzy inference systems where the model parameters are estimated using Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. We show the…
Decision trees have been widely used in machine learning. However, due to some reasons, data collecting in real world contains a fuzzy and uncertain form. The decision tree should be able to handle such fuzzy data. This paper presents a…
In this work, we first define intuitionistic fuzzy parametrized soft sets (intuitionistic FP-soft sets) and study some of their properties. We then introduce an adjustable approaches to intuitionistic FP-soft sets based decision making. We…
Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…
Within the framework proposed in this paper, we address the issue of extending the certain networks to a fuzzy certain networks in order to cope with a vagueness and limitations of existing models for decision under imprecise and uncertain…
This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…
We describe a mechanism for performing probabilistic reasoning in influence diagrams using interval rather than point valued probabilities. We derive the procedures for node removal (corresponding to conditional expectation) and arc…
While observational data are routinely used to estimate causal effects of biomedical treatments, doing so requires special methods to adjust for observed confounding. These methods invariably rely on untestable statistical and causal…
Static program analysis is used to summarize properties over all dynamic executions. In a unifying approach based on 3-valued logic properties are either assigned a definite value or unknown. But in summarizing a set of executions, a…
In this paper the author presents a kind of Soft Computing Technique, mainly an application of fuzzy set theory of Prof. Zadeh [16], on a problem of Medical Experts Systems. The choosen problem is on design of a physician's decision model…
In a recent paper [1] we introduced the Fuzzy Bayesian Learning (FBL) paradigm where expert opinions can be encoded in the form of fuzzy rule bases and the hyper-parameters of the fuzzy sets can be learned from data using a Bayesian…
The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…
Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…
This article presents a general multivariate $f$-sensitivity index, rooted in the $f$-divergence between the unconditional and conditional probability measures of a stochastic response, for global sensitivity analysis. Unlike the…
A standard approach to building a fuzzy controller based on stochastic logic uses binary random signals with an average (expected value of a random variable) in the range [0, 1]. A different approach is presented, founded on a…
Decision circuits have been developed to perform efficient evaluation of influence diagrams [Bhattacharjya and Shachter, 2007], building on the advances in arithmetic circuits for belief network inference [Darwiche,2003]. In the process of…
For nonlinear supervised learning models, assessing the importance of predictor variables or their interactions is not straightforward because it can vary in the domain of the variables. Importance can be assessed locally with sensitivity…
A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…
In this contribution we provide initial findings to the problem of modeling fuzzy rating responses in a psychometric modeling context. In particular, we study a probabilistic tree model with the aim of representing the stage-wise mechanisms…
This paper models a decision support system to predict the occurance of suicide attack in a given collection of cities. The system comprises two parts. First part analyzes and identifies the factors which affect the prediction. Admitting…