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This paper considers the problem of model selection under domain shift. Motivated by principles from distributionally robust optimisation and domain adaptation theory, it is proposed that the training-validation split should maximise the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Andrea Napoli , Paul White

We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on $N$ independent, identically distributed observations. We prove the existence of an estimator that has a near-optimal error in all directions in which the variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

A new test of normality based on a standardised empirical process is introduced in this article. The first step is to introduce a Cram\'er-von Mises type statistic with weights equal to the inverse of the standard normal density function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Juan Kalemkerian

Every probability distribution can be approximated up to a given precision by a phase-type distribution, i.e. a distribution encoded by a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC). However, an excessive number of states in the corresponding CTMC…

Performance · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Ľuboš Korenčiak , Jan Krčál , Vojtěch Řehák

We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

Inference in models where the parameter is defined by moment inequalities is of interest in many areas of economics. This paper develops a new method for improving the performance of generalized moment selection (GMS) testing procedures in…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-26 Rami V. Tabri , Christopher D. Walker

This paper is aimed to study the ergodic short-term behaviour of discretizations of circle expanding maps. More precisely, we prove some asymptotics of the distance between the $t$-th iterate of Lebesgue measure by the dynamics $f$ and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Pierre-Antoine Guihéneuf , Maurizio Monge

We study two nonparametric tests of the hypothesis that a sequence of independent observations is identically distributed against the alternative that at a single change point the distribution changes. The tests are based on the Cramer-von…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Rasmus Erlemann , Richard Lockhart , Rihan Yao

Random effects meta-analysis model is an important tool for integrating results from multiple independent studies. However, the standard model is based on the assumption of normal distributions for both random effects and within-study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Yue Wang , Jianhua Zhao , Fen Jiang , Lei Shi , Jianxin Pan

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Motivated by differential co-expression analysis in genomics, we consider in this paper estimation and testing of high-dimensional differential correlation matrices. An adaptive thresholding procedure is introduced and theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-22 T. Tony Cai , Anru Zhang

In the framework of semiparametric distribution regression, we consider the problem of comparing the conditional distribution functions corresponding to two samples. In contrast to testing for exact equality, we are interested in the (null)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-12 Holger Dette , Kathrin Möllenhoff , Dominik Wied

Directional inference for vector parameters based on higher order approximations in likelihood inference has recently been developed in the literature. Here we explore examples of directional inference where the calculations can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Andrew McCormack , Nancy Reid , Nicola Sartori , Sri-Amirthan Theivendran

We adapt Higher Criticism (HC) to the comparison of two frequency tables which may -- or may not -- exhibit moderate differences between the tables in some unknown, relatively small subset out of a large number of categories. Our analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 David L. Donoho , Alon Kipnis

In this paper, we study the self-normalized Cram\a'{e}r-type moderate deviations for centered independent random variables $X_1, X_2,...$ with $0<E |X_i|^3 <\infty$. The main results refine Theorems 1.1 and 1.2 of Wang (2011), the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Hailin Sang , Lin Ge

Consider a random sample of $n$ independently and identically distributed $p$-dimensional normal random vectors. A test statistic for complete independence of high-dimensional normal distributions, proposed by Schott (2005), is defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Shuhua Chang , Yongcheng Qi

Various measures in two-way contingency table analysis have been proposed to express the strength of association between row and column variables in contingency tables. Tomizawa et al. (2004) proposed more general measures, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-10 Wataru Urasaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Tomotaka Momozaki , Sadao Tomizawa
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