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Branching Processes in Random Environment (BPREs) $(Z\_n:n\geq0)$ are the generalization of Galton-Watson processes where in each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly in an i.i.d. manner. In the supercritical regime, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Vincent Bansaye , Christian Boeinghoff

We give an explicit formula for the most likely path to extinction for the Galton-Watson processes with large initial population. We establish this result with the help of the large deviation principle (LDP) which also recovers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton-Watson processes. Thus we consider a offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton-Watson processes converges to a continuous state branching process (CSBP) with jumps.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Ibrahima Drame , Etienne Pardoux

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$ and is bounded by some $d\in \{2,3,\ldots\}$. As well-known, the associated martingale $W_n=Z_n/m^n$ converges a.s. to some nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 John Fernley , Emmanuel Jacob

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

We consider population-size-dependent branching processes (PSDBPs) which eventually become extinct with probability one. For these processes, we derive maximum likelihood estimators for the mean number of offspring born to individuals when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

As well known, for a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$, the ratio $W_n:=Z_n/m^n$ has a.s. limit, say $W$. We study tail behaviour of the distributions of $W_n$ and $W$ in the case where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

We investigate subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration in a random environment. Using Goldie's implicit renewal theory we show that under general Cram\'er condition the stationary distribution has a power law tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Bojan Basrak , Peter Kevei

We study a classical multitype Galton--Watson process with mutation and selection. The individuals are sequences of fixed length over a finite alphabet. On the sharp peak fitness landscape together with independent mutations per locus, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Joseba Dalmau

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We prove weak convergence on the Skorokhod space of Galton-Watson processes with immigration, properly normalized, under the assumption that the tail of the immigration distribution has a logarithmic decay. The limits are extremal shot…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

Since the work of Aldous and Pitman (1998), several authors have studied the pruning processes of Galton-Watson trees and their continuous analogue L\'evy trees. L\"ohr, Voisin and Winter (2015) introduced the space of bi-measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Anita Winter

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

The basis of this paper is the elementary observation that the $n$-step descendant distribution of any Galton-Watson process satisfies a discrete Smoluchowski coagulation equation with multiple coalescence. Using this we obtain necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-12 Gautam Iyer , Nicholas Leger , Robert L. Pego

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

Consider a critical Galton--Watson branching process with immigration, where the offspring distribution belongs to the domain of attraction of a $(1 + \alpha)$-stable law with $\alpha \in (0,1)$, and the immigration distribution either (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics