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A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

This brief article gives an overview of quantum mechanics as a {\em quantum probability theory}. It begins with a review of the basic operator-algebraic elements that connect probability theory with quantum probability theory. Then quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-02-04 Hendra I. Nurdin

The purpose of this work is to describe a duality between a fragmentation associated to certain Dirichlet distributions and a natural random coagulation. The dual fragmentation and coalescent chains arising in this setting appear in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin , Christina Goldschmidt

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of probability, random variables and stochastic processes. The probability theory is baed on existing approaches using valuations and lower integrals. Various approaches to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Pieter Collins

Dynamics of information flow in adaptively interacting stochastic processes is studied. We give an extended form of game dynamics for Markovian processes and study its behavior to observe information flow through the system. Examples of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuzuru Sato , Nihat Ay

We present a unified approach to various examples of Markov dynamics on partitions studied by Borodin, Olshanski, Fulman, and the author. Our technique generalizes the Kerov's operators first appeared in [Okounkov, arXiv:math/0002135], and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Leonid Petrov

We have studied Markov processes on denumerable state space and continuous time. We found that all these processes are connected via gauge transformations. We have used this result before as a method for resolution of equations, included…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-12 M. Caruso , C. Jarne

We generalize the notion of the submartingale property and Doob's inequality. Furthermore, we show how the latter leads to new inequalities for several stochastic processes: certain time series, Levy processes, random walks, processes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 János Engländer

These lecture notes present some new concentration inequalities for Feynman-Kac particle processes. We analyze different types of stochastic particle models, including particle profile occupation measures, genealogical tree based evolution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-07-13 Pierre Del Moral , Peng Hu , Liming Wu

The main topic of these notes are Markov loops, studied in the context of continuous time Markov chains on discrete state spaces. We refer to [1] and [2] for the short "history" of the subject. In contrast with these references, symmetry is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Yinshan Chang , Yves Le Jan

We consider pairwise Markov random fields which have a number of important applications in statistical physics, image processing and machine learning such as Ising model and labeling problem to name a couple. Our own motivation comes from…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Lenar Iskhakov , Maksim Mironov

We introduce a new method, which we call stochastic fusion, which takes an exclusion process and constructs an interacting particle systems in which more than one particle may occupy a lattice site. The construction only requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Jeffrey Kuan

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes we introduce a stochastic calculus which is a certain non-Gaussian counterpart to the classical Malliavin calculus. As an application we investigate the regularity of densities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin
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