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Modern methods for sampling rugged landscapes in state space mainly rely on knowledge of the relative probabilities of microstates, which is given by the Boltzmann factor for equilibrium systems. In principle, trajectory reweighting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-26 Patrick B. Warren , Rosalind J. Allen

This paper considers Bayesian parameter estimation of dynamic systems using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The Metroplis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is employed, and the main contribution of the paper is to examine and illustrate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-18 Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness , Johan Dahlin

The classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm can be extended to generate non-reversible Markov chains. This is achieved by means of a modification of the acceptance probability, using the notion of vorticity matrix. The resulting Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens

The paper proposes a Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Mark Girolami , Ben Calderhead , Siu A. Chin

I discuss optimized data analysis and Monte Carlo methods. Reweighting methods are discussed through examples, like Lee-Yang zeroes in the Ising model and the absence of deconfinement in QCD. I discuss reweighted data analysis and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-02-03 Enzo Marinari

A Monte Carlo Renormalization Group algorithm is used on the Ising model to derive critical exponents and the critical temperature. The algorithm is based on a minimum relative entropy iteration developed previously to derive potentials…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 John P. Donohue

Computer simulations generate microscopic trajectories of complex systems at a single thermodynamic state point. We recently introduced a Maximum Caliber (MaxCal) approach for dynamical reweighting. Our approach mapped these trajectories to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-14 Marius Bause , Tristan Bereau

We propose a general framework for a hybrid continuous-discrete algorithm that integrates continuous-time deterministic dynamics with Metropolis-Hastings steps to combine search dynamics with and without detailed balance. Our purpose is to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-31 Timothée Leleu , Samuel Reifenstein

Parameter estimation for discretely observed Markov processes is a challenging problem. However, simulation of Markov processes is straightforward using the Gillespie algorithm. We exploit this ease of simulation to develop an effective…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-17 Peter Neal

We provide a deepened study of autocorrelations in Neural Markov Chain Monte Carlo (NMCMC) simulations, a version of the traditional Metropolis algorithm which employs neural networks to provide independent proposals. We illustrate our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-18 Piotr Białas , Piotr Korcyl , Tomasz Stebel

Non-equilibrium dynamics of classical random Ising spin chains are studied using asymptotically exact real space renormalization group. Specifically the random field Ising model with and without an applied field (and the Ising spin glass…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Daniel S. Fisher , Pierre Le Doussal , Cecile Monthus

We develop a new Markov chain on graph partitions that makes relatively global moves yet is computationally feasible to be used as the proposal in the Metropolis-Hastings method. Our resulting algorithm can be made reversible and able to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Eric Autrey , Daniel Carter , Gregory Herschlag , Zach Hunter , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

Iterative reweighted algorithms, as a class of algorithms for sparse signal recovery, have been found to have better performance than their non-reweighted counterparts. However, for solving the problem of multiple measurement vectors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-04-29 Zhilin Zhang , Bhaskar D. Rao

Graphical model selection in Markov random fields is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Two particularly prominent models, the Ising model and Gaussian model, have largely developed in parallel using different (though…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Anamay Chaturvedi , Jonathan Scarlett

We consider the generic problem of performing sequential Bayesian inference in a state-space model with observation process y, state process x and fixed parameter theta. An idealized approach would be to apply the iterated batch importance…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-30 Nicolas Chopin , Pierre E. Jacob , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We present a new method for investigating first-order phase transitions using Monte Carlo simulations. It relies on the multiple-histogram method and uses solely histograms of individual phases. In addition, we extend the method to include…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 Martin Ebeling , Walter Nadler

Finding and sampling rare trajectories in dynamical systems is a difficult computational task underlying numerous problems and applications. In this paper we show how to construct Metropolis- Hastings Monte Carlo methods that can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-16 Jorge C. Leitao , Joao M. Viana Parente Lopes , Eduardo G. Altmann

In this manuscript, inspired by a simpler reformulation of primary sample space Metropolis light transport, we derive a novel family of general Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms called charted Metropolis-Hastings, that introduces the…

Graphics · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Jacopo Pantaleoni

This paper proposes a new sampling-based nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) algorithm, with a bound on complexity quadratic in the prediction horizon N and linear in the number of samples. The idea of the proposed algorithm is to use…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-13 R. V. Bobiti , M. Lazar