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Several different uncertain inference systems (UISs) have been developed for representing uncertainty in rule-based expert systems. Some of these, such as Mycin's Certainty Factors, Prospector, and Bayes' Networks were designed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ben P. Wise , Max Henrion

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

The process of information fusion needs to deal with a large number of uncertain information with multi-source, heterogeneity, inaccuracy, unreliability, and incompleteness. In practical engineering applications, Dempster-Shafer evidence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Dongdong Wu , Zijing Liu , Yongchuan Tang

The media industry is increasingly personalizing the offering of contents in attempt to better target the audience. This requires to analyze the relationships that goes established between users and content they enjoy, looking at one side…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Luigi Troiano , Irene Díaz , Ciro Gaglione

We describe a viewpoint on the Dempster/Shafer 'Theory of Evidence', and provide an interpretation which regards the combination formulas as statistics of the opinions of "experts". This is done by introducing spaces with binary operations…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Robert Hummel , Michael Landy

Bayesian inference is often utilized for uncertainty quantification tasks. A recent analysis by Xu and Raginsky 2022 rigorously decomposed the predictive uncertainty in Bayesian inference into two uncertainties, called aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-25 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata

This paper suggests a new interpretation of the Dempster-Shafer theory in terms of probabilistic interpretation of plausibility. A new rule of combination of independent evidence is shown and its preservation of interpretation is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mieczysław Kłopotek

The theory of belief functions allows the fusion of imperfect data from different sources. Unfortunately, few real, imprecise and uncertain datasets exist to test approaches using belief functions. We have built real birds datasets thanks…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Constance Thierry , Arthur Hoarau , Arnaud Martin , Jean-Christophe Dubois , Yolande Le Gall

An in-depth understanding of uncertainty is the first step to making effective decisions under uncertainty. Deep/machine learning (ML/DL) has been hugely leveraged to solve complex problems involved with processing high-dimensional data.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Zhen Guo , Zelin Wan , Qisheng Zhang , Xujiang Zhao , Feng Chen , Jin-Hee Cho , Qi Zhang , Lance M. Kaplan , Dong H. Jeong , Audun Jøsang

Configurable software systems are employed in many important application domains. Understanding the performance of the systems under all configurations is critical to prevent potential performance issues caused by misconfiguration. However,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Huong Ha , Zongwen Fan , Hongyu Zhang

Posterior probabilistic statistical inference without priors is an important but so far elusive goal. Fisher's fiducial inference, Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions, and Bayesian inference with default priors are attempts to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In the last decade, exponential data growth supplied machine learning-based algorithms' capacity and enabled their usage in daily-life activities. Additionally, such an improvement is partially explained due to the advent of deep learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Mateus Roder , Jurandy Almeida , Gustavo H. de Rosa , Leandro A. Passos , André L. D. Rossi , João P. Papa

Optimization-based meta-learning offers a promising direction for few-shot learning that is essential for many real-world computer vision applications. However, learning from few samples introduces uncertainty, and quantifying model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Deep Pandey , Qi Yu

This article deals with plausible reasoning from incomplete knowledge about large-scale spatial properties. The availableinformation, consisting of a set of pointwise observations,is extrapolated to neighbour points. We make use of belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Jerome Lang , Philippe Muller

I propose a finite sample inference procedure that uses a likelihood function derived from the randomization process within an experiment to conduct inference on various quantities that capture heterogeneous intervention effects. One such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Amanda Kowalski

Many Artificial Intelligence systems depend on the agent's updating its beliefs about the world on the basis of experience. Experiments constitute one type of experience, so scientific methodology offers a natural environment for examining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Harold P. Lehmann

Though remarkable progress has been achieved in various vision tasks, deep neural networks still suffer obvious performance degradation when tested in out-of-distribution scenarios. We argue that the feature statistics (mean and standard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Xiaotong Li , Yongxing Dai , Yixiao Ge , Jun Liu , Ying Shan , Ling-Yu Duan

Addressing uncertainty in Deep Learning (DL) is essential, as it enables the development of models that can make reliable predictions and informed decisions in complex, real-world environments where data may be incomplete or ambiguous. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Ayyub Alzahem , Wadii Boulila , Maha Driss , Anis Koubaa

We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to observations through a loss function rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

The problem of analyzing the performance of networked agents exchanging evidence in a dynamic network has recently grown in importance. This problem has relevance in signal and data fusion network applications and in studying opinion and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-26 Ranga Dabarera , Kamal Premaratne , Manohar N. Murthi , Dilip Sarkar